(H)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jay Hussain 15 2 17 Gk Maximilian Isaksson 12 1 13 Df Luca Lorimar 13 2 15 Sw Lewis Tufnel 9 0 9 Df Martin Kennedy 14 2 16 Df Graham Sansom 12 0 12 Df Thomas McIntyre 7 1 8 Df Patrick Hopkins 10 0 10 Mf Noah Young 13 1 14 Df Andy Rees 7 0 7 Mf William Carney 12 2 14 Mf Daniel James 13 1 14 Mf Mons Nygård 7 0 7 Mf Juan Fernández 7 0 7 Mf Owen Roberts 7 2 9 Mf David Cruz 6 0 6 Fw Sean Moore 12 2 14 Fw Alf Abrahamsen 14 2 16 Fw Agustin Martínez 7 2 9 Fw Adam Shaw 11 0 11 Fw Jermaine Bennett 3 2 5 Fw Claudio Gentile 11 0 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 0 39 44 28 ROSTER TOTALS 13 9 29 27 38 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 0 39 53 28 T O T A L S 13 9 29 27 38 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.3 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.26 (no red card) Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.39 (no red card) Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.87 (no red card) Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.01 (no red card) Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.03 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.36 (no second yellow) Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.74 (no red card) Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.54 (no red card) Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.99 (no red card) Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.07 (no red card) Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.95 (no red card) Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.43 (no red card) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.46 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.49 (no red card) Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.43 (no red card) Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.03 (no red card) Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.98 (no red card) Df Andy Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.57 (no red card) Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.77 (no red card) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.32 (no red card) Mf David Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.81 (no red card) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.78 (no red card) Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.93 (no red card) Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.27 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0 - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.43 (no injury) Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.13 (no injury) Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.42 (no injury) Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.04 (no injury) Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.2 (no injury) Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.81 (no injury) Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.1 (no injury) Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.18 (no injury) Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.48 (no injury) Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.75 (no injury) Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.49 (no injury) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.71 (no injury) Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.28 (no injury) Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.21 (no injury) Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.13 (no injury) Df Andy Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.08 (no injury) Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.97 (no injury) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.18 (no injury) Mf David Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.94 (no injury) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.27 (no injury) Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.67 (no injury) Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.3 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Martin Kennedy SL 14 - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 12 intRndPk = 95 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14 - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 15 intRndPk = 28 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Supermarine FC 17 0 39 53 28 Forest Green Rovers FC 13 9 29 27 38 Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 29) Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((53 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((39 - 38) / 5); result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 14 1: Attack for Df Martin Kennedy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 91.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 59.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Forest Green Rovers FC 13 9 29 27 38 Swindon Supermarine FC 17 0 39 53 28 Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap! Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 39) Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 53) / 2; rounded up) Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 1 ((29 - 28) / 3); result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Df Graham Sansom Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
Match Notes
good luck Mr Blazel
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/22 - 10:20 PM
I could do with a win here, but i'd take a draw
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/22 - 10:20 PM
oh dear. just awful
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/29 - 12:59 PM