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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            16    2   18     Gk Owen Brudenell          3    2    5
Sw Dave Nguyen            12    2   14     Sw Luiz Dias               3    2    5
Df Luca Lorimar           13    2   15     Df Jamie Whiteside         7    2    9
Df Pablo Arboleda         12    2   14     Df Antonin Delattre        7   -1    6
Df Seiichi Tanaka         10    0   10     Df Patrick Lynch           7    2    9
Df James Long              8    1    9     Df Baptiste Labbe         15    1   16
Mf Noah Young             13    1   14     Mf Tristan Pichard        13    1   14
Mf William Carney         12    2   14     Mf Michael Taylor          7    2    9
Fw Pedro Souza            13    2   15     Mf Chuck Knox              7    2    9
Fw Sean Moore             12    2   14     Fw Hayden Hamilton         8    2   10
Fw Jose Ramon Marquez     11    2   13     Fw Conall Walsh            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 48 28 42        ROSTER TOTALS       5  5 40 32 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 48 37 42         T O T A L S        5  5 42 32 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.68 (no red card)

Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.99 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.87 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.28 (no red card)

Df Seiichi Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.49 (no red card)

Df James Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.16 (no red card)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.72 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.88 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.81 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.7 (no red card)

Fw Jose Ramon Marquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.01 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.34 (no red card)

Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.16 (no red card)

Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.03 (no second yellow)

Df Antonin Delattre: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.68 (no red card)

Df Patrick Lynch: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.45 (no red card)

Df Baptiste Labbe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.74 (no red card)

Mf Tristan Pichard: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.39 (no red card)

Mf Michael Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.29 (no red card)

Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.52 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Hamilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.84 (no red card)

Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 32.19 (no injury) 
Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.42 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.7 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.05 (no injury) 
Df Seiichi Tanaka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.06 (no injury) 
Df James Long: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.14 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.29 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      William Carney is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      William Carney new match skill level =  6
      William Carney new match total level =  8
Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.48 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.44 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Ramon Marquez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.71 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 94.62 (no injury) 
Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 31.62 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.97 (no injury) 
Df Antonin Delattre: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.67 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Lynch: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.39 (no injury) 
Df Baptiste Labbe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.38 (no injury) 
Mf Tristan Pichard: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 51.75 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.91 (no injury) 
Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.56 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Hamilton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.49 (no injury) 
Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 16.56 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Luca Lorimar SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Baptiste Labbe SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 80 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18  14  48  31  42
  Bridgwater Town          5   5  42  32  19

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 42)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 10 ((48 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 17.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Seiichi Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 7.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 47.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df James Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 19.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df James Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 14.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 37.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 55.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          5   5  42  32  19
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18  14  48  31  42

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 48)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Tristan Pichard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 1
 
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