(H)
Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S EVESHAM UNITED FC MARINE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Samuel Daly 8 2 10 Gk Joe Cameron 9 0 9 Sw Ollie Russell 14 0 14 Df Finlay Cooke 10 -1 9 Df Francisco Duarte 10 0 10 Df Tyler Reynolds 9 0 9 Df Manuel Madrigal 9 0 9 Df Jelle Beckers 9 1 10 Df Mika Lang 9 0 9 Df Tihamér Pap 5 2 7 Df Thiago Araújo 8 1 9 Mf Glenn Ellis 10 0 10 Mf Eric White 11 0 11 Mf Giles Hanny 8 0 8 Mf Corey Fox 10 -2 8 Mf Andrea Marino 5 2 7 Fw Robin Lindqvist 15 0 15 Fw Cristobal Saez 11 0 11 Fw Albert Francis 10 0 10 Fw Tony Murray 9 1 10 Fw Allan Burns 10 2 12 Fw Reuben Dowson 5 0 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 14 37 19 37 ROSTER TOTALS 9 0 35 25 26 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 10 14 37 19 46 T O T A L S 9 0 38 25 29 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Samuel Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.84 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.2 (no red card) Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.59 (no red card) Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.9 (no red card) Df Manuel Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.55 (no red card) Df Mika Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.77 (no red card) Df Thiago Araújo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.43 (no red card) Mf Eric White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.41 (no red card) Mf Corey Fox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.43 (no red card) Fw Robin Lindqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.29 (no red card) Fw Albert Francis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.85 (no red card) Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.27 (no red card) ******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 6 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.88 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.15 (no red card) Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 7.61 (no red card) Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 80.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 49.36 (no red card) Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 36.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 42.74 (no red card) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 40.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 58.06 (no red card) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 11.34 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 92.35 (no second yellow) Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 49.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 24.31 (no red card) Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 12.38 (no red card) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 33.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 38.76 (no red card) Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 87.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 86.4 (no red card) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 17.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 25.56 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0% - Gk chance of injury = 3.5% Gk Samuel Daly: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.12 (no injury) Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 74.3 (no injury) Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 4.58 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Francisco Duarte is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Df Manuel Madrigal: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 26.56 (no injury) Df Mika Lang: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 35.04 (no injury) Df Thiago Araújo: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 1.2 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 3 Thiago Araújo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Thiago Araújo new match skill level = 4 Thiago Araújo new match total level = 5 Mf Eric White: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 79.36 (no injury) Mf Corey Fox: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 88.29 (no injury) Fw Robin Lindqvist: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 56.25 (no injury) Fw Albert Francis: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 74.02 (no injury) Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 58.56 (no injury) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6 - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 87.21 (no injury) Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.03 (no injury) Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.26 (no injury) Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.91 (no injury) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.34 (no injury) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.05 (no injury) Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.2 (no injury) Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.21 (no injury) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.83 (no injury) Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.77 (no injury) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.42 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Robin Lindqvist SL 15 - Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 9 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick) ******* EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 11 - Defending Gk: Samuel Daly SL 8 intRndPk = 3 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 67 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Evesham United FC 10 14 33 19 46 Marine FC 9 0 38 25 29 Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 8 (46 - 38); result rounded up Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 25) / 2; rounded up) Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((33 - 29) / 3); result rounded up Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Mika Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 59.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Allan Burns Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Allan Burns Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 4.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Allan Burns Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 63.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Robin Lindqvist Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Allan Burns Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 86.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Allan Burns Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 44.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Albert Francis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Allan Burns Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 23.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Marine FC 9 0 38 25 29 Evesham United FC 10 14 33 19 46 Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 33) Marine FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((25 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 46) / 5; rounded up) Marine FC Total Attacks = 3 1: Attack for Mf Giles Hanny Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Glenn Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Giles Hanny Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E EVESHAM UNITED FC 2 - MARINE FC 1