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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kieran Singh            6    2    8     Gk Denis Baker            12    2   14
Sw Dae-Jung  Park          6    2    8     Sw Archie Robertson       10    1   11
Df Ellis Fisher            6    2    8     Df Marty Pagett           12    2   14
Df Michael Barker          4    0    4     Df Kieran Shilton         10    2   12
Mf Juan Fernández          8    0    8     Df Roberto Santoro         9    2   11
Mf David Cruz              6    0    6     Mf Paul Lynch             12    2   14
Mf Alfie Milner            4    2    6     Mf Theo Ritchie           11    2   13
Fw Baron Ball              8   -1    7     Mf Paul Gray              10    2   12
Fw Andrew Young            5    2    7     Fw Arthur Knight          15    2   17
Fw Ashley Lennon           5    2    7     Fw Martin Wilkins         10    2   12
Fw Bernd Peters            5    2    7     Fw Emile Hardy             9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  8 12 20 28        ROSTER TOTALS      14 11 37 39 40    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  8 12 20 35         T O T A L S       14 11 37 39 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.99 (no red card)

Sw Dae-Jung  Park: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.61 (no red card)

Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.46 (no red card)

Df Michael Barker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.36 (no red card)

Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.2 (no red card)

Mf David Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.72 (no red card)

Mf Alfie Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.51 (no red card)

Fw Baron Ball: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.03 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.21 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.2 (no red card)

Fw Bernd Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.86 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.56 (no red card)

Sw Archie Robertson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.12 (no red card)

Df Marty Pagett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.08 (no red card)

Df Kieran Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.08 (no red card)

Df Roberto Santoro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.41 (no red card)

Mf Paul Lynch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.14 (no red card)

Mf Theo Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.88 (no red card)

Mf Paul Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.49 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Knight: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.1 (no second yellow)

Fw Martin Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.33 (no red card)

Fw Emile Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.34 (no injury) 
Sw Dae-Jung  Park: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.39 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.25 (no injury) 
Df Michael Barker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.81 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.31 (no injury) 
Mf David Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.61 (no injury) 
Mf Alfie Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.82 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Ball: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.49 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.84 (no injury) 
Fw Bernd Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.29 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Baker: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.25 (no injury) 
Sw Archie Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.53 (no injury) 
Df Marty Pagett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.86 (no injury) 
Df Kieran Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.94 (no injury) 
Df Roberto Santoro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.81 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Lynch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.88 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Ritchie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.35 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Gray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.14 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Knight: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.69 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.65 (no injury) 
Fw Emile Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.65 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Juan Fernández SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Denis Baker SL 12

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Arthur Knight SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 6

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   8  12  20  35
  Hyde FC                  14  11  37  39  40

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 37)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((12 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  14  11  37  39  40
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   8  12  20  35

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 28 (40 - 12); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((39 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 1 ((37 - 35) / 3); result rounded up
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 39

1: Attack for Df Kieran Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Paul Lynch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 60.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Paul Gray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Paul Lynch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Paul Gray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Paul Gray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 27.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Paul Lynch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 53.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Paul Lynch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Theo Ritchie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Paul Lynch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 40.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Paul Gray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 20.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 8.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 95.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 9.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 65.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 14.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 93.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 50.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 91.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 64.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 82.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 76.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 69 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 38.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
39: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0  -  HYDE FC 8
 
Match Notes
Never have much joy at New Lawn
Carl (Hyde FC) 02/26 - 6:55 AM
home fans expect a performance here
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/29 - 1:00 PM
And they got one
Carl (Hyde FC) 03/03 - 1:12 PM
haha Carl
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/03 - 8:04 PM
Never have much joy at has all changed!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/03 - 8:05 PM
 
 
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