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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan Foster           16    2   18     Gk José Fita              16    2   18
Sw Jason Meyer            12    2   14     Sw Joshua Burroughs       16    2   18
Df Fabian Schulz          16    1   17     Df Harry Thwaite          13    2   15
Df Logan Peters           12    0   12     Df Maximillian Beerman    10    2   12
Df Harvey Marshall        11    2   13     Mf Giles Dixon            11    2   13
Df Robin Ostrander         7    2    9     Mf Hernan Romero          11    2   13
Mf Ethan Peters           12    2   14     Fw Ruben Diez             15    2   17
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon         11    2   13     Fw Dong-Sun  Jang         16    2   18
Fw Kerecsen Deák          13    2   15     Fw Tobias Walter          11   -1   10
Fw Charlie Boyle          10    2   12     Fw Martin Rios             8    2   10
Fw Howard Dennis           8    2   10     Fw James O'Neill           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 51 27 37        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 27 26 65    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 51 27 46         T O T A L S       18 18 27 26 65    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.19 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.85 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.06 (no second yellow)

Df Logan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.69 (no red card)

Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.61 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.21 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.95 (no red card)

Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.23 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.55 (no red card)

Fw Charlie Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.59 (no red card)

Fw Howard Dennis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.44 (no red card)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk José Fita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.56 (no red card)

Sw Joshua Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.95 (no red card)

Df Harry Thwaite: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.06 (no red card)

Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.46 (no red card)

Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.99 (no red card)

Mf Hernan Romero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.55 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.31 (no red card)

Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.73 (no second yellow)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.43 (no red card)

Fw Martin Rios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.63 (no second yellow)

Fw James O'Neill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 54.91 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.07 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.46 (no injury) 
Df Logan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.91 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.12 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.55 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.24 (no injury) 
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.93 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.8 (no injury) 
Fw Charlie Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.58 (no injury) 
Fw Howard Dennis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.26 (no injury) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk José Fita: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.42 (no injury) 
Sw Joshua Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Joshua Burroughs is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Joshua Burroughs new match skill level =  8
      Joshua Burroughs new match total level =  10
Df Harry Thwaite: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.97 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.19 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.26 (no injury) 
Mf Hernan Romero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.92 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.18 (no injury) 
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.8 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.38 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Rios: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.8 (no injury) 
Fw James O'Neill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: José Fita SL 16

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dong-Sun  Jang SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 16

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            18  14  51  27  46
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       18  10  27  26  65

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 19 (46 - 27); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Ethan Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Howard Dennis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Howard Dennis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Howard Dennis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Howard Dennis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Howard Dennis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       18  10  27  26  65
  Luton Town FC            18  14  51  27  46

Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 14 (65 - 51); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Martin Rios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Martin Rios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Martin Rios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 30.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Martin Rios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 2  -  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 1
 
Match Notes
Relegation sealer here?
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/02 - 2:31 PM
 
 
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