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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gianluca De Luca       16    2   18     Gk Gareth Green           17    2   19
Sw Sean Buckley           12    2   14     Sw Harry Stewart          16    2   18
Df Niklas Schneider       13    2   15     Df Bailey Bradley          9    2   11
Df Harvey Burns           12    2   14     Df Lucas Hill             14    2   16
Df Theo Crowley           11    2   13     Df Jake Lowe               8    2   10
Df Darren Hanny            8    2   10     Fw Joe Walsh              15    2   17
Mf Stefan Jensen          19    2   21     Mf Mathieu Pellerin       10    2   12
Mf Andres Gomez           11    2   13     Mf Pedro Gomes             8    2   10
Mf John Anderson          10    2   12     Fw Kyle Bate              14    2   16
Fw Jamie Craig            13    2   15     Fw Roger Patel            10    2   12
Fw Sean Sturridge          8    2   10     Fw Andrew O'Neal          10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 52 46 25        ROSTER TOTALS      19 18 37 22 57    
       0  0  0  3  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 14 52 58 25         T O T A L S       19 18 37 22 57    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.34 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.39 (no red card)

Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.02 (no red card)

Df Harvey Burns: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 21.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.73 (no red card)

Df Theo Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 24.15 (no red card)

Df Darren Hanny: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.85 (no second yellow)

Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 72.38 (no second yellow)

Mf Andres Gomez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.7 (no red card)

Mf John Anderson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.73 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 81.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 61.81 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.76 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.95 (no red card)

Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.45 (no red card)

Df Bailey Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.54 (no red card)

Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.91 (no red card)

Df Jake Lowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.76 (no red card)

Fw Joe Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.95 (no red card)

Mf Mathieu Pellerin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.97 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.56 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.78 (no second yellow)

Fw Roger Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.25 (no red card)

Fw Andrew O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 28.65 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.44 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.82 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Burns: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.26 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Harvey Burns is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Harvey Burns new match skill level =  6
      Harvey Burns new match total level =  8
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Theo Crowley is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Darren Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.05 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.83 (no injury) 
Mf Andres Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.89 (no injury) 
Mf John Anderson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      John Anderson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.96 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.78 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 82.15 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.9 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Bradley: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.72 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 37.53 (no injury) 
Df Jake Lowe: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 96.12 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Walsh: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 32.15 (no injury) 
Mf Mathieu Pellerin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 87.55 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.81 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 54.88 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Patel: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.44 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew O'Neal: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 13.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Stefan Jensen SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 17

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Joe Walsh SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gianluca De Luca SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          20  14  46  58  25
  Kendal Town FC           19  18  37  22  57

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 37)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((58 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf John Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf John Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 59.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 56.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf John Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 67.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           19  18  37  22  57
  Bedford Town FC          20  14  46  58  25

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 11 (57 - 46); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 58) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((37 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Bailey Bradley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Bailey Bradley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Lucas Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 14.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Jake Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 14.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 82.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Roger Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Andrew O'Neal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Andrew O'Neal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 0  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
We are down
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/08 - 9:53 PM
These two managers do not like each other...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/09 - 1:32 AM
I would buy either one of these managers breakfast in Vegas.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/09 - 2:41 AM
What about me Phil?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/12 - 11:29 PM
I am on my way Phil , eggs sunnyside up please
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/14 - 11:41 PM
How did we lose that game
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/14 - 11:42 PM
 
 
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