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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mateo Romano           12    2   14     Gk Leon Dickson           10    0   10
Sw Paul MacKenzie         11    2   13     Sw Ryan James             12    0   12
Df Eoin O'Neal            11    2   13     Df Oscar Brennan          12    1   13
Df Andrea De Luca          8    2   10     Df Joshua Evans           12    0   12
Df William Cockham         8    2   10     Df Marcelo Fernandez       8    2   10
Mf Coll Wilson            14    1   15     Mf Mariano Lopez          12    0   12
Mf Algenon White          12    2   14     Mf Thomas Mason           14   -2   12
Mf Callum Davies          11    1   12     Mf Vegard  Haugland        8    2   10
Mf Adam Long               5    2    7     Fw Tommaso Villa          12    0   12
Fw Harry Clapinson        13    0   13     Fw Alfred Forsberg         8    2   10
Fw Rob Ramsey             12    1   13     Fw Carrington Hewitt       8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 33 48 26        ROSTER TOTALS      10 12 35 34 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 36 51 29         T O T A L S       10 12 35 34 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.23 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.0 (no red card)

Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.25 (no red card)

Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.28 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.82 (no red card)

Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.11 (no red card)

Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.55 (no red card)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.46 (no second yellow)

Mf Adam Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.86 (no red card)

Fw Harry Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.58 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.29 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leon Dickson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.27 (no red card)

Sw Ryan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.3 (no red card)

Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.99 (no red card)

Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.41 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.14 (no red card)

Mf Mariano Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.68 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.74 (no red card)

Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.91 (no red card)

Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.2 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.99 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Hewitt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.74 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.13 (no injury) 
Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.32 (no injury) 
Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.88 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.36 (no injury) 
Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.92 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.77 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.92 (no injury) 
Mf Adam Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.99 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Clapinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.11 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leon Dickson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.14 (no injury) 
Sw Ryan James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.68 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.35 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.34 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.4 (no injury) 
Mf Mariano Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.3 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.63 (no injury) 
Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.51 (no injury) 
Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.26 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.76 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Hewitt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Coll Wilson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Leon Dickson SL 10

     intRndPk = 88
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Mason SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 12

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              14  13  36  51  29
  Carlton Town FC          10  12  35  34  32

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 35)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 9 ((51 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((36 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df William Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Andrea De Luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 88.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Adam Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 41.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Algenon White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 4.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 37.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Adam Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 85.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          10  12  35  34  32
  Mossley AFC              14  13  36  51  29

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 36)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 51) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((35 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Joshua Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 2  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
I think this one may be tougher than it seems
Mike (Mossley AFC) 03/09 - 2:02 AM
 
 
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