(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Maximilian Isaksson 12 2 14 Gk Frank Kennedy 6 2 8 Sw Lewis Tufnel 9 0 9 Sw Simon Carter 8 0 8 Df Graham Sansom 12 0 12 Df Peter Price 14 -1 13 Df Patrick Hopkins 10 0 10 Df Harrison Dean 10 -2 8 Mf Daniel James 13 1 14 Df Ben Blucher 7 0 7 Mf Luca Cole 10 0 10 Mf Florian Fuchs 9 -1 8 Mf Juan Fernández 8 0 8 Mf Nick Fuchs 7 0 7 Fw Alf Abrahamsen 14 2 16 Mf Ernest Dohm 6 2 8 Fw Adam Shaw 12 0 12 Fw Francesco Rinaldi 11 2 13 Fw Claudio Gentile 11 0 11 Fw Alejandro Vera 10 0 10 Fw Baron Ball 8 -1 7 Fw James St.Hubbins 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 9 22 32 46 ROSTER TOTALS 8 8 28 23 31 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 9 22 32 53 T O T A L S 8 8 28 23 31 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.46 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.77 (no red card) Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.16 (no red card) Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.24 (no red card) Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card) Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.16 (no red card) Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.99 (no red card) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.37 (no red card) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.45 (no red card) Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.52 (no red card) Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.52 (no red card) Fw Baron Ball: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.59 (no red card) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.99 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.03 (no red card) Sw Simon Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.72 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.01 (no second yellow) Df Peter Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.18 (no red card) Df Harrison Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.2 (no red card) Df Ben Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.01 (no red card) Mf Florian Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.32 (no red card) Mf Nick Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.57 (no red card) Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.51 (no red card) Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.1 (no red card) Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.17 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.68 (no second yellow) Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.97 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.03 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.22 (no injury) Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.43 (no injury) Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury) Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.79 (no injury) Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.41 (no injury) Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.23 (no injury) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.31 (no injury) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.28 (no injury) Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.94 (no injury) Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.5 (no injury) Fw Baron Ball: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.33 (no injury) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.19 (no injury) Sw Simon Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.25 (no injury) Df Peter Price: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.27 (no injury) Df Harrison Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.26 (no injury) Df Ben Blucher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.15 (no injury) Mf Florian Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.65 (no injury) Mf Nick Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.47 (no injury) Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.15 (no injury) Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.11 (no injury) Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.84 (no injury) Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.96 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14 - Defending Gk: Frank Kennedy SL 6 intRndPk = 59 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Peter Price SL 14 - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 12 intRndPk = 37 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Forest Green Rovers FC 14 9 22 32 53 Chippenham Town FC 8 8 28 23 31 Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 25 (53 - 28); result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((32 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 31) / 3; rounded up) Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 30 1: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Daniel James Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 30.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Luca Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 16.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 31.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 28.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 81.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 21: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 53.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chippenham Town FC 8 8 28 23 31 Forest Green Rovers FC 14 9 22 32 53 Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 9 (31 - 22); result rounded up Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 32) / 2; rounded up) Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 53) / 3; rounded up) Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Alejandro Vera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 71.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Alejandro Vera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Alejandro Vera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Alejandro Vera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1 - CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 3
Match Notes
All the best Mark
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 03/07 - 8:44 AM
6 lost matches in a row is my form ahead of this.
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/08 - 6:17 PM
With both teams on losing streaks, something's gotta give.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/09 - 12:52 AM
That was unexpected
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 03/09 - 8:32 PM
Given that Rinaldi turned into CHP's top scorer immediately ...
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/09 - 10:23 PM
I should have priced him much higher
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/09 - 10:24 PM
No take-backs, Eduard.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/10 - 3:47 PM
just awful
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/15 - 12:46 PM
8 lost matches in a row is my form
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/15 - 12:46 PM
need turn corner soon
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/15 - 12:55 PM