(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC WIMBLEDON BEDFORD TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kenzie Ross 18 2 20 Gk Gianluca De Luca 16 2 18
Sw Aarron Lowe 9 2 11 Sw Sean Buckley 12 2 14
Df Kian Doyle 13 1 14 Df Niklas Schneider 13 2 15
Df Lee Robertson 11 2 13 Df Harvey Burns 12 2 14
Mf Oscar Hall 17 2 19 Df Theo Crowley 11 2 13
Mf Archie Blair 12 1 13 Df Darren Hanny 8 2 10
Mf Aarron Shepherd 11 2 13 Mf Stefan Jensen 19 2 21
Mf Oliver Johnstone 8 2 10 Mf Andres Gomez 11 2 13
Mf Niklas Herrmann 8 2 10 Mf John Anderson 10 2 12
Fw Paul Ellis 15 2 17 Fw Jamie Craig 13 2 15
Fw Bradley McCarthy 15 2 17 Fw Sean Sturridge 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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20 11 27 65 34 ROSTER TOTALS 18 14 52 46 25
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 4 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
21 11 27 74 34 T O T A L S 20 14 52 50 25
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 74.21 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 37.27 (no red card)
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.19 (no red card)
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.93 (no red card)
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.59 (no red card)
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.15 (no red card)
Mf Archie Blair: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.68 (no red card)
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.66 (no red card)
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.38 (no red card)
Mf Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.78 (no red card)
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.6 (no red card)
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.22 (no red card)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 4
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.89 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.89 (no red card)
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 35.22 (no red card)
Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 60.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 38.1 (no red card)
Df Harvey Burns: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 63.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 71.28 (no red card)
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 87.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 96.92 (no red card)
Df Darren Hanny: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 7.37 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 94.8 (no second yellow)
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 23.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 75.06 (no red card)
Mf Andres Gomez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 99.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 31.97 (no red card)
Mf John Anderson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 64.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 37.0 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 59.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 7.89 (no red card)
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 67.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 27.9 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 4
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 35.33 (no injury)
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 82.61 (no injury)
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 74.73 (no injury)
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 50.66 (no injury)
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 50.28 (no injury)
Mf Archie Blair: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 9.53 (no injury)
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 19.77 (no injury)
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 48.53 (no injury)
Mf Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 16.34 (no injury)
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 44.38 (no injury)
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 61.8 (no injury)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 4
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 83.05 (no injury)
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 35.06 (no injury)
Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.91 (no injury)
Df Harvey Burns: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 32.71 (no injury)
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 27.95 (no injury)
Df Darren Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 22.4 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 55.66 (no injury)
Mf Andres Gomez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 75.08 (no injury)
Mf John Anderson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 17.72 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 94.57 (no injury)
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 25.23 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 17
- Defending Gk: Gianluca De Luca SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 67 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Stefan Jensen SL 19
- Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 21 11 27 74 34
Bedford Town FC 20 14 52 50 25
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 52)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 12 ((74 - 50) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Df Lee Robertson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Archie Blair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Archie Blair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Archie Blair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 64.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 86.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Archie Blair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 47.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Niklas Herrmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bedford Town FC 20 14 52 50 25
AFC Wimbledon 21 11 27 74 34
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 27)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((50 - 74) / 2; rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((52 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Theo Crowley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Harvey Burns
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Theo Crowley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 49.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Niklas Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 39.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Theo Crowley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 64.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Niklas Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC WIMBLEDON 2 - BEDFORD TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Only 1 win at home in league play……must play better than that
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/09 - 2:06 PM
Feeling hard done by
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/14 - 11:40 PM
Hardness again
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/14 - 11:41 PM