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Burton Albion FC
James White
 
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BURTON ALBION FC                           SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James Fitzgerald       16    2   18     Gk José Fita              16    2   18
Sw Thomas Young           12    1   13     Df Luke MacTavish          8    2   10
Df Liam Byrne             13    2   15     Df Johan  Kristensen       4    2    6
Df Shay  Carr              8    2   10     Df Rolf Tveit              3    2    5
Mf Oliver Wagner          13    2   15     Mf Shane Smith             9    2   11
Mf Hyun Ki  Son           12    2   14     Mf Bernd Kaiser            8    2   10
Fw Jens Christensen       13    2   15     Mf Ellis Cox               8    2   10
Fw Daniel Fernandez       12    1   13     Mf Joseph Terry            4    2    6
Fw Ollie Shaw             13    1   14     Fw Martin Rios             8    2   10
Fw William Jones          10    2   12     Fw James O'Neill           8    2   10
Fw Carsten Petersen        8    2   10     Fw Ollie O'Brien           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 13 25 29 64        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 21 37 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  5  2  0    
=======================================================================
      18 13 25 29 73         T O T A L S       19  0 26 39 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.8 (no red card)

Sw Thomas Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.4 (no red card)

Df Liam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.24 (no red card)

Df Shay  Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.58 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Wagner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.39 (no red card)

Mf Hyun Ki  Son: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.8 (no red card)

Fw Jens Christensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.13 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.67 (no red card)

Fw Ollie Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.98 (no red card)

Fw William Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.23 (no red card)

Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.91 (no red card)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk José Fita: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 97.79 (no red card)

Df Luke MacTavish: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.14 (no red card)

Df Johan  Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.68 (no red card)

Df Rolf Tveit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.87 (no red card)

Mf Shane Smith: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.49 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.6 (no red card)

Mf Ellis Cox: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.21 (no red card)

Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.15 (no red card)

Fw Martin Rios: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.06 (no red card)

Fw James O'Neill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.55 (no red card)

Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk James Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 90.91 (no injury) 
Sw Thomas Young: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.03 (no injury) 
Df Liam Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.04 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.69 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Wagner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.71 (no injury) 
Mf Hyun Ki  Son: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.27 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Christensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.58 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.75 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Ollie Shaw is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ollie Shaw new match skill level =  7
      Ollie Shaw new match total level =  8
Fw William Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.19 (no injury) 
Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.19 (no injury) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk José Fita: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 17.18 (no injury) 
Df Luke MacTavish: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.86 (no injury) 
Df Johan  Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.91 (no injury) 
Df Rolf Tveit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.52 (no injury) 
Mf Shane Smith: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.19 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.15 (no injury) 
Mf Ellis Cox: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.8 (no injury) 
Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.7 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Rios: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.51 (no injury) 
Fw James O'Neill: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.05 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.34 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Byrne SL 13
   - Defending Gk: José Fita SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Shane Smith SL 9
   - Defending Gk: James Fitzgerald SL 16

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         18  13  25  29  67
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       19   0  26  39  26

Shepshed Dynamo FC is using Offside Trap!
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 21 (67 - 26) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Fw William Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 78.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw William Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ollie Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Ollie Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 84.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw William Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 31.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Daniel Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 49.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ollie Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 24.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Daniel Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 91.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Ollie Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 34.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw William Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Daniel Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 3.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ollie Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 0.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Ollie Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 15.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Daniel Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Shepshed Dynamo FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       19   0  26  39  26
  Burton Albion FC         18  13  25  29  67

Shepshed Dynamo FC is Playing For A Draw!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 1 (26 - 25) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((39 - 29) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 67) / 5;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Ellis Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Shane Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Bernd Kaiser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Martin Rios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BURTON ALBION FC 2  -  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 0
 
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