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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan Foster           16    2   18     Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18
Sw Jason Meyer            12    2   14     Sw Douglas Pereira        15    2   17
Df Fabian Schulz          16    1   17     Df Benjamin Charlton      14    2   16
Df Logan Peters           12    0   12     Df Morgan Barmby          17    2   19
Df Robin Ostrander         8    2   10     Fw Eoghan Carroll         14    2   16
Mf Ethan Peters           12    2   14     Mf Leon Baumann           14    2   16
Mf Harrison McBrayne      11    2   13     Mf Josè Guerrero           8    2   10
Fw Kerecsen Deák          13    2   15     Fw Gordon Andrews         13    2   15
Fw Tom Bell               10    2   12     Fw Ashley Reynolds        13    2   15
Fw Charlie Boyle          10    2   12     Fw Greg Scott              8    2   10
Fw Nils Schneider          8    2   10     Fw Lorenzo Santana         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 39 27 49        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 35 26 66    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 39 27 58         T O T A L S       19 17 35 26 66    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.87 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.19 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.06 (no red card)

Df Logan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.12 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.68 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.83 (no red card)

Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.53 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.98 (no red card)

Fw Tom Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.35 (no red card)

Fw Charlie Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.55 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.5 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 0.89 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.2 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card)

Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.53 (no red card)

Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.1 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.43 (no red card)

Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.46 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.87 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.39 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.72 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 99.81 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.61 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.34 (no injury) 
Df Logan Peters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.5 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.87 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.34 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.68 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.58 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Bell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.83 (no injury) 
Fw Charlie Boyle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.98 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Charlie Boyle is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Charlie Boyle new match skill level =  5
      Charlie Boyle new match total level =  7
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.78 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 48.05 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.12 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.44 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Benjamin Charlton is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Benjamin Charlton new match skill level =  7
      Benjamin Charlton new match total level =  9
Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.86 (no injury) 
Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.05 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.06 (no injury) 
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.22 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.05 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.94 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.86 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.73 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Morgan Barmby SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 16

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            18  14  39  27  53
  Welling United FC        19  17  28  26  66

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 25 (53 - 28); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 87.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 24.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 86.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 59.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 82.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19  17  28  26  66
  Luton Town FC            18  14  39  27  53

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 27 (66 - 39); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 2  -  WELLING UNITED FC 2
 
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