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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Stephens         15    2   17     Gk Martin Denis           15    2   17
Sw Jermaine Burroughs      9    2   11     Sw William Lewis          10    2   12
Df Bailey Dowson          12    2   14     Df Aidan O'Neil           13    1   14
Df Agustín Delgado         8    2   10     Df Benjamin Newton        12    2   14
Mf Theo Cleverley         13    2   15     Df Lennard Richter        10    2   12
Mf Jay Davies             14    1   15     Df Ben Lawrence            8    2   10
Df Gerry Ward              7    2    9     Mf Juan Jose Carmona      13    2   15
Df Jonas Schmidt           6    2    8     Mf Lewis Smith            13    2   15
Fw Lawrence Clark         13    2   15     Fw Hans Fischer           14    1   15
Fw Baron Marshall          8    2   10     Fw Braulio  Salas         13    2   15
Fw Kieran Cole             8    2   10     Fw Blair Munro            13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 41 30 35        ROSTER TOTALS      17 12 50 30 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 11 41 30 44         T O T A L S       17 12 50 30 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.12 (no red card)

Sw Jermaine Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.69 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.15 (no red card)

Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.91 (no red card)

Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.45 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Theo Cleverley new match skill level =  7
      Theo Cleverley new match total level =  9

Mf Jay Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.42 (no red card)

Df Gerry Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.57 (no red card)

Df Jonas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.23 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.9 (no second yellow)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.86 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.32 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.03 (no red card)

Sw William Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.44 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.51 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.07 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Benjamin Newton new match skill level =  6
      Benjamin Newton new match total level =  8

Df Lennard Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.39 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.25 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.11 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.11 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.4 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.78 (no red card)

Fw Blair Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.43 (no injury) 
Sw Jermaine Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.27 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.51 (no injury) 
Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.98 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.42 (no injury) 
Df Gerry Ward: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.67 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.52 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.19 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.12 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.5 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 40.7 (no injury) 
Sw William Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.29 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.21 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.28 (no injury) 
Df Lennard Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.5 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.32 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.82 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.58 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.28 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.67 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.94 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jay Davies SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hans Fischer SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 15

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  17  11  41  24  44
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  12  44  30  45

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 44)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 0


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  12  44  30  45
  FC United of Manchester  17  11  41  24  44

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (45 - 41); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Table-topping Rail and without their youth needing playing time for this one. Being at home won’t help enough against this quality side
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/04 - 5:50 PM
Harrogate Railway AFC haven't won a league match at Gigg Lane since season 3.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/09 - 1:31 AM
Kevin complains about playing at home, Kevin complains about being on the road! Please get this man a neutral site or just rename this team the San Diego Chargers!
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/09 - 2:53 AM
 
 
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