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Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

EVESHAM UNITED FC                          MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Geoffrey Bateman       16    0   16     Gk Mateo Romano           12    2   14
Sw Ollie Russell          15    0   15     Sw Paul MacKenzie         11    2   13
Df Francisco Duarte       11    0   11     Df Eoin O'Neal            11    2   13
Df Manuel  Madrigal        9    0    9     Df Gilberto Medina        10    2   12
Df Lorenzo Ibañez          8    2   10     Df Andrea De Luca          8    2   10
Mf Eric White             11    0   11     Df William Cockham         8    2   10
Mf Tyrone Porter           7    2    9     Mf Algenon White          12    2   14
Fw Albert Francis         11    0   11     Mf Callum Davies          11    1   12
Fw Allan Burns            11    2   13     Mf Robbie Mitchell        10    0   10
Fw Robin Lindqvist        15    0   15     Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz      13    1   14
Fw Thomas Clarke           8    2   10     Fw Rob Ramsey             12    1   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 30 20 49        ROSTER TOTALS      14 13 45 36 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  2  2  2  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 30 29 49         T O T A L S       14 15 47 38 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Geoffrey Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.78 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.19 (no red card)

Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.28 (no red card)

Df Manuel  Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.13 (no red card)

Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.98 (no red card)

Mf Eric White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.55 (no red card)

Mf Tyrone Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.1 (no red card)

Fw Albert Francis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.1 (no red card)

Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.86 (no red card)

Fw Robin Lindqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.56 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.2 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.87 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 45.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 99.69 (no red card)

Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 78.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 46.09 (no red card)

Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 61.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 12.82 (no red card)

Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 46.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 55.16 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 11.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 78.79 (no second yellow)

Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 32.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 8.45 (no red card)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 9.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 1.83 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Callum Davies new match skill level =  6
      Callum Davies new match total level =  7

Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 25.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 73.95 (no red card)

Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 65.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 46.28 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 9.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 76.52 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Geoffrey Bateman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.05 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 22.26 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 94.35 (no injury) 
Df Manuel  Madrigal: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 67.41 (no injury) 
Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 64.55 (no injury) 
Mf Eric White: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 78.59 (no injury) 
Mf Tyrone Porter: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 60.99 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Francis: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 83.66 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 5.44 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Allan Burns is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Allan Burns new match skill level =  6
      Allan Burns new match total level =  8
Fw Robin Lindqvist: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 36.0 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 79.11 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 92.26 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.94 (no injury) 
Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.31 (no injury) 
Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.86 (no injury) 
Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.33 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.04 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.08 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.82 (no injury) 
Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.52 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.63 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Robin Lindqvist SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Juan Antonio Ruiz SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Geoffrey Bateman SL 16

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        16  15  30  29  44
  Mossley AFC              14  15  47  33  27

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 47)
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Manuel  Madrigal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              14  15  47  33  27
  Evesham United FC        16  15  30  29  44

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 30)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((47 - 44) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df William Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Algenon White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
EVESHAM UNITED FC 0  -  MOSSLEY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
I know this will be a difficult road test for us
Mike (Mossley AFC) 03/09 - 2:03 AM
Great Match
Aires (Evesham United FC) 03/12 - 11:42 PM
Congrats Mke!
Aires (Evesham United FC) 03/12 - 11:43 PM
 
 
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