(H)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLTON TOWN FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Leon Dickson 10 0 10 Gk Maximilian Isaksson 12 2 14 Df Oscar Brennan 12 1 13 Sw Lewis Tufnel 9 0 9 Df Joshua Evans 12 0 12 Df Graham Sansom 12 0 12 Df Sam Dickson 8 2 10 Df Patrick Hopkins 10 0 10 Mf Mariano Lopez 12 0 12 Mf Daniel James 13 1 14 Mf Thomas Mason 14 -2 12 Mf Luca Cole 10 0 10 Mf Ollie Ince 11 1 12 Mf Juan Fernández 8 0 8 Mf Charles Mills 10 2 12 Fw Alf Abrahamsen 14 2 16 Fw George Shaw 12 0 12 Fw Adam Shaw 12 0 12 Fw Taylor Cockayne 12 0 12 Fw Claudio Gentile 11 0 11 Fw Tommaso Villa 12 0 12 Fw Baron Ball 8 -1 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 0 35 48 36 ROSTER TOTALS 14 9 22 32 46 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 10 0 35 48 45 T O T A L S 14 9 22 32 46 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Leon Dickson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.12 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.57 (no red card) Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.77 (no red card) Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.92 (no red card) Df Sam Dickson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.94 (no red card) Mf Mariano Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.16 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.01 (no second yellow) Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.8 (no red card) Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.29 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Ollie Ince new match skill level = 6 Ollie Ince new match total level = 7 Mf Charles Mills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.93 (no red card) Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.12 (no red card) Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.77 (no red card) Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.02 (no red card) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.13 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.84 (no red card) Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.13 (no red card) Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.92 (no red card) Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.01 (no red card) Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.99 (no red card) Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.03 (no red card) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.63 (no red card) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.99 (no red card) Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.74 (no red card) Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.36 (no red card) Fw Baron Ball: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.55 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Leon Dickson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.02 (no injury) Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.34 (no injury) Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.14 (no injury) Df Sam Dickson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.62 (no injury) Mf Mariano Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.28 (no injury) Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.87 (no injury) Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.83 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Ollie Ince is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Mf Charles Mills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.55 (no injury) Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.56 (no injury) Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.9 (no injury) Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.07 (no injury) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.76 (no injury) Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.09 (no injury) Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.43 (no injury) Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.98 (no injury) Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.4 (no injury) Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.92 (no injury) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.44 (no injury) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.16 (no injury) Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.62 (no injury) Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.48 (no injury) Fw Baron Ball: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.21 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Thomas Mason SL 14 - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 12 intRndPk = 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14 - Defending Gk: Leon Dickson SL 10 intRndPk = 86 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlton Town FC 10 0 35 43 45 Forest Green Rovers FC 14 9 22 32 46 Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 23 (45 - 22); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((43 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 46) / 5; rounded up) Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 29 1: Attack for Mf Mariano Lopez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Mf Thomas Mason Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Charles Mills Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Charles Mills Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Charles Mills Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 96.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 92.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 23: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 29: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Forest Green Rovers FC 14 9 22 32 46 Carlton Town FC 10 0 35 43 45 Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 11 (46 - 35); result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 43) / 2; rounded up) Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 45) / 3; rounded up) Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 0.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 31.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 15.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Baron Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 57.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLTON TOWN FC 4 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
Match Notes
away from home - so i fear the worst
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/08 - 6:17 PM
oh dear
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/15 - 12:55 PM
at least we scored!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/15 - 12:56 PM
no wins in 10 now
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/15 - 12:56 PM