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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Stephens         15    2   17     Gk Jannick Meyer           8    2   10
Sw Jermaine Burroughs      9    2   11     Df Leo Bergström          14    0   14
Df Bailey Dowson          13    2   15     Df Clifton Ali            13    2   15
Df Steven Gascoigne        9    2   11     Df Cliff Fawlty           10    2   12
Df Liam Fortune-West       8    2   10     Df Earl Kelly              9    2   11
Mf Jay Davies             14    1   15     Mf Mateo Philippe         13    2   15
Mf Mason Whiteside         9    2   11     Mf Malte Axelsson         13    2   15
Mf Jermaine Clemence       9    2   11     Mf Barry Evans            16    0   16
Fw Blair Docherty         16    2   18     Mf Joe Barrett             9    2   11
Fw Arthur Whelan          13    0   13     Fw Joe Evans              14    2   16
Fw Kieran Cole             8    2   10     Fw Patrick Reid           13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 36 37 41        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 52 57 31    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 11 36 37 50         T O T A L S       13  0 52 57 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.79 (no red card)

Sw Jermaine Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.1 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.27 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.41 (no red card)

Df Liam Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.12 (no red card)

Mf Jay Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.78 (no second yellow)

Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.66 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.91 (no red card)

Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.07 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.28 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.9 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Jannick Meyer: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 21.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 10.94 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 93.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.33 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 36.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 93.27 (no red card)

Df Cliff Fawlty: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 25.2 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 2.3 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.96 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.45 (no second yellow)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.08 (no red card)

Mf Barry Evans: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 96.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.89 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 61.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.86 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.09 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 89.59 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 13.42 (no injury) 
Sw Jermaine Burroughs: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.81 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.14 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 76.72 (no injury) 
Df Liam Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 59.82 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Davies: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.03 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 33.5 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.5 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 37.69 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 98.9 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.73 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jannick Meyer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 73.86 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.91 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.33 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Fawlty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.13 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.03 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.0 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.48 (no injury) 
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.86 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.53 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.67 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.94 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Blair Docherty SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jannick Meyer SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Barry Evans SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 15

     intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  17  11  36  37  50
  Tonbridge Angels         13   0  52  57  31

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 52)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 57) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 2 ((36 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         13   0  52  57  31
  FC United of Manchester  17  11  36  37  50

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 36)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 10 ((57 - 37) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((52 - 50) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 25.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
 
Match Notes
Two teams currently in the bottom three. A big relegation dogfight.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/15 - 9:54 PM
On the other hand, both teams are within three points of promotion (as is every team in Division 2).
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/16 - 5:05 PM
Had the better of it but happy with an away point.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/21 - 11:32 PM
 
 
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