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Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HALIFAX TOWN AFC                           ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos          9    2   11     Gk Mark Daugherty         16    2   18
Sw Abel Ríos              14    2   16     Sw Declan Wilson          15    2   17
Df Mark Shaw              14    2   16     Df Matty Parsons          14    2   16
Df Daniel Müller          13    2   15     Df Jannick Schmitz        13    2   15
Df Joseph Allison          9    2   11     Df Atle Svendsen          10    2   12
Mf Michael Reilly         13    2   15     Mf Jeff Hunter            12    2   14
Mf Michael Reed            9    0    9     Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    2   12
Fw Bobby Sherman          19    2   21     Fw Dennis Honeybun        14   -1   13
Fw Gabriel Lee            15    2   17     Fw Ezequiel  Segura       15    1   16
Fw Giorgio Parisi         13    2   15     Fw Thomas Reilly          10    1   11
Fw Joe Lennon              9    2   11     Fw John Davis             10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 16 42 24 64        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 43 26 52    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 16 42 26 71         T O T A L S       18 17 43 26 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 55.27 (no red card)

Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.33 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.74 (no second yellow)

Df Mark Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.81 (no red card)

Df Daniel Müller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.37 (no red card)

Df Joseph Allison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.67 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.71 (no second yellow)

Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.26 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.38 (no red card)

Fw Bobby Sherman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.88 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.33 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Parisi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.35 (no red card)

Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.0 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.25 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.35 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.53 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.85 (no red card)

Df Atle Svendsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.51 (no second yellow)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.92 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.19 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.42 (no red card)

Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.88 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.39 (no red card)

Fw John Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 46.98 (no injury) 
Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.24 (no injury) 
Df Mark Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.57 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Müller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.36 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Allison: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.99 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.23 (no injury) 
Fw Bobby Sherman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.79 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Bobby Sherman is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Bobby Sherman new match skill level =  10
      Bobby Sherman new match total level =  12
Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.66 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Parisi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.34 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Giorgio Parisi is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Giorgio Parisi new match skill level =  7
      Giorgio Parisi new match total level =  9
Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.9 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 31.41 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.34 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.79 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Matty Parsons is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Matty Parsons new match skill level =  7
      Matty Parsons new match total level =  9
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.87 (no injury) 
Df Atle Svendsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.9 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.1 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.64 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.95 (no injury) 
Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.43 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Reilly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.38 (no injury) 
Fw John Davis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Lee SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 16

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ezequiel  Segura SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         12  16  42  26  56
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  36  26  52

Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 20 (56 - 36); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Bobby Sherman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Giorgio Parisi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Giorgio Parisi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 21.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Giorgio Parisi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Bobby Sherman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Giorgio Parisi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Giorgio Parisi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  36  26  52
  Halifax Town AFC         12  16  42  26  56

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 10 (52 - 42); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw John Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 26.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw John Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 80.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 91.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HALIFAX TOWN AFC 0  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
A lucky win, her.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/17 - 8:45 AM
and so from possible promotion to probable relegation (sigh)
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/21 - 12:17 AM
 
 
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