(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC MOSSLEY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Kieran Singh 6 2 8 Gk Mateo Romano 13 2 15 Sw Dae-Jung Park 6 2 8 Sw Paul MacKenzie 11 2 13 Df Ellis Fisher 7 2 9 Df Eoin O'Neal 11 2 13 Mf Michael Barker 2 1 3 Df Andrea De Luca 9 2 11 Df Theo Cole 3 2 5 Df William Cockham 8 2 10 Df Mateo Hernández 3 2 5 Mf Coll Wilson 14 1 15 Mf David Cruz 6 1 7 Mf Algenon White 12 2 14 Mf Alfie Milner 4 2 6 Mf Robbie Mitchell 11 0 11 Fw Andrew Young 6 2 8 Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu 4 2 6 Fw Andrew Williamson 6 2 8 Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz 13 1 14 Fw Ashley Lennon 5 2 7 Fw Nico Fuchs 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 8 8 19 16 23 ROSTER TOTALS 15 13 34 46 24 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 8 8 19 16 30 T O T A L S 15 13 37 49 24 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.81 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.38 (no red card) Sw Dae-Jung Park: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.34 (no red card) Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.86 (no red card) Mf Michael Barker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.55 (no red card) Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.73 (no red card) Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.46 (no red card) Mf David Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.91 (no red card) Mf Alfie Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.55 (no red card) Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.15 (no red card) Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.98 (no red card) Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.38 (no red card) ******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 6 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.12 (no red card) Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 22.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 57.26 (no red card) Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 56.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 84.43 (no red card) Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 96.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 29.37 (no red card) Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 26.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 78.98 (no red card) Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 98.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 42.51 (no red card) Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 74.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 59.16 (no red card) Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 33.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 86.45 (no red card) Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 83.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 26.41 (no red card) Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 37.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 93.47 (no red card) Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 86.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 16.94 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0% - Gk chance of injury = 3.5% Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 13.18 (no injury) Sw Dae-Jung Park: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 48.99 (no injury) Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 82.98 (no injury) Mf Michael Barker: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 55.8 (no injury) Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 53.51 (no injury) Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 63.54 (no injury) Mf David Cruz: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 53.35 (no injury) Mf Alfie Milner: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 94.13 (no injury) Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 47.27 (no injury) Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 98.33 (no injury) Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 96.04 (no injury) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6 - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 77.74 (no injury) Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.31 (no injury) Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.16 (no injury) Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 95.47 (no injury) Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.73 (no injury) Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.64 (no injury) Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no injury) Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.06 (no injury) Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.66 (no injury) Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.67 (no injury) Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.43 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Ellis Fisher SL 7 - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 13 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Coll Wilson SL 14 - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 6 intRndPk = 7 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Forest Green Rovers FC 8 8 19 16 30 Mossley AFC 15 13 37 49 24 Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 37) Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 49) / 2; rounded up) Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 24) / 3; rounded up) Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0 ******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Mossley AFC 15 13 37 49 24 Forest Green Rovers FC 8 8 19 16 30 Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (24 - 19); result rounded up Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 17 ((49 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((37 - 30) / 3); result rounded up Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Df Andrea De Luca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 80.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Df Andrea De Luca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df William Cockham Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Algenon White Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Algenon White Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 62.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 45.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Mf Algenon White Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 22.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Mf Algenon White Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Mf Algenon White Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Mf Algenon White Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 60.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 21: Attack for Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0 - MOSSLEY AFC 3
Match Notes
another drubbing expected here
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/15 - 12:56 PM
another drubbing expected....
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/18 - 9:13 PM
.... and so it came to pass
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/18 - 9:13 PM