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Thursday, April 25th, 2024 - 10:10:17 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18     Gk Archie Brakspear        9    2   11
Sw Patrick Stretch        13    2   15     Sw Denis Pearce           14    2   16
Mf Jake McDonald          13    1   14     Df Jack Brennan           13    2   15
Df Benjamin Charlton      14    1   15     Df Denis Ward             13    2   15
Df Ian Jackson             8    2   10     Df Michio Mori             8    2   10
Fw Leon Baumann           13    2   15     Df William Munro           4    2    6
Mf Josè Guerrero           8    2   10     Fw Liam Cox               18    2   20
Fw Gordon Andrews         13    2   15     Mf Nuno Fonseca           13    2   15
Fw Ashley Reynolds        13    2   15     Mf Danny Monkhouse         8    2   10
Fw Lorenzo Santana         9    2   11     Mf Ryan Welbeck            4    2    6
Fw Nils Pettersson         4    2    6     Fw Matthew Peverell        8   -1    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 25 24 62        ROSTER TOTALS      11 16 46 31 27    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 25 25 70         T O T A L S       14 19 50 31 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 76.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 54.46 (no red card)

Sw Patrick Stretch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.55 (no red card)

Mf Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.34 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.76 (no red card)

Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.48 (no red card)

Fw Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card)

Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.33 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.31 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.47 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.75 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.93 (no red card)

Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.68 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.46 (no red card)

Df Denis Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.97 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.89 (no second yellow)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.08 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.87 (no second yellow)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.81 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.06 (no red card)

Mf Nuno Fonseca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.77 (no red card)

Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.31 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.98 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 4.38 (no injury) 
Sw Patrick Stretch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.62 (no injury) 
Mf Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.51 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.87 (no injury) 
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.69 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.7 (no injury) 
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.2 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.49 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.56 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.43 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.97 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 73.32 (no injury) 
Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.61 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.7 (no injury) 
Df Denis Ward: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.28 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Michio Mori is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Michio Mori new match skill level =  4
      Michio Mori new match total level =  6
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.63 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.93 (no injury) 
Mf Nuno Fonseca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.74 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Danny Monkhouse is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Danny Monkhouse new match skill level =  4
      Danny Monkhouse new match total level =  6
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.85 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Benjamin Charlton SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 9

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19  15  25  25  70
  Kingstonian FC           14  19  46  27  27

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 24 (70 - 46); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 6.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 13.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           14  19  46  27  27
  Welling United FC        19  15  25  25  70

Kingstonian FC is Playing For A Draw!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 1 (27 - 25) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Nuno Fonseca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 52.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 0  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 0
 
Match Notes
We might be cannon fodder in this one.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/16 - 3:05 PM
Apologies for the negative soccer. We did what we had to do to grind out a result.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/16 - 7:41 PM
No surprise here: I have won vs KIN in 1 of 6 matches since taking over
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/17 - 9:52 AM
And 24 attacks without scoring: I've seen worse
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/17 - 9:52 AM
 
 
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