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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Diego Forlán           15    2   17     Gk Niklas Kaiser           8    2   10
Df Leo Bergström          14    0   14     Sw Harley Hanny           12    1   13
Df Algenon Webster        14    2   16     Df Tivadar Lengyel        14    0   14
Df Clifton Ali            13    2   15     Df Martin Navarro         10    0   10
Df Cliff Fawlty           10    2   12     Df Alexander Kerr          7    1    8
Mf Mateo Philippe         13    2   15     Df Jake Whyte              4    2    6
Mf Malte Axelsson         13    2   15     Mf Mika Schmidt           11    0   11
Mf Barry Evans            16    0   16     Mf Aaron Jackson           8    0    8
Fw Paul Millot            14    2   16     Mf Tom Werner              7    2    9
Fw Joe Evans              14    2   16     Mf Scott Shaw             13    0   13
Fw Patrick Reid           13    2   15     Fw Julius Evensen         14   -1   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 57 46 47        ROSTER TOTALS      10 13 38 41 13    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 57 49 53         T O T A L S       10 16 42 41 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 36.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 41.51 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.7 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.18 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.69 (no second yellow)

Df Cliff Fawlty: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.89 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.89 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.77 (no red card)

Mf Barry Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.92 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.9 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.84 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.34 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.76 (no red card)

Sw Harley Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.27 (no red card)

Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.07 (no second yellow)

Df Martin Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.32 (no red card)

Df Alexander Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.77 (no red card)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.76 (no red card)

Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.86 (no red card)

Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.45 (no red card)

Mf Tom Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.76 (no red card)

Mf Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.01 (no red card)

Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 33.36 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.06 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.36 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.48 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Fawlty: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.53 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.95 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 80.92 (no injury) 
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.92 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.88 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.01 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.0 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 5.33 (no injury) 
Sw Harley Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.57 (no injury) 
Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.35 (no injury) 
Df Martin Navarro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.18 (no injury) 
Df Alexander Kerr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.52 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.84 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.05 (no injury) 
Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.38 (no injury) 
Mf Tom Werner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.89 (no injury) 
Mf Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.91 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Barry Evans SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 8

     intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tivadar Lengyel SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         19   0  57  49  53
  Chasetown FC             10  16  42  41  14

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 11 (53 - 42); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 4 ((49 - 41) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 9 ((57 - 14) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 64.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 83.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 76.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 68.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 26.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 55 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 72.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 86.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             10  16  42  41  14
  Tonbridge Angels         19   0  57  49  53

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Chasetown FC is Playing For A Draw!
Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 57)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((41 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 8  -  CHASETOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Last won this fixture in season 20, that's a long time ago....
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/15 - 8:46 PM
Hopefully Paul that won’t change this game. Both teams desperate for the points.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/15 - 9:55 PM
We definitely took our chances.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/21 - 11:33 PM
 
 
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