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Thursday, April 25th, 2024 - 01:53:54 PM (gmt)
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          BEDFORD TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18     Gk Jake Flynn              8    2   10
Sw Douglas Pereira        15    2   17     Sw Sean Buckley           13    2   15
Df Benjamin Charlton      14    1   15     Df Joshua Murphy          13    2   15
Fw Morgan Barmby          13    2   15     Df Niklas Schneider       13    2   15
Df Ian Jackson             9    2   11     Df Harvey Burns           12    2   14
Fw Eoghan Carroll         14    2   16     Mf Stefan Jensen          15    2   17
Mf Leon Baumann           15    2   17     Mf Andres Gomez           11    2   13
Mf Josè Guerrero           9    2   11     Mf Jeff Shilton            4    2    6
Fw Gordon Andrews         13    2   15     Mf Carlton Lloyd          12    2   14
Fw Ashley Reynolds        13    2   15     Fw Sean Sturridge          9    2   11
Fw Nils Pettersson         5    2    7     Fw Gonzalo Soler           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 26 28 68        ROSTER TOTALS      10 15 44 50 17    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 17 26 28 77         T O T A L S       10 15 44 51 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 93.09 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.55 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.64 (no red card)

Fw Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.44 (no red card)

Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.65 (no red card)

Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.22 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.81 (no red card)

Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.1 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.41 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.17 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.51 (no red card)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.82 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.78 (no second yellow)

Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.43 (no red card)

Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.87 (no red card)

Df Harvey Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.78 (no second yellow)

Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.92 (no red card)

Mf Andres Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.83 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.59 (no red card)

Mf Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.26 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.36 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 23.64 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.1 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.91 (no injury) 
Fw Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.08 (no injury) 
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 81.91 (no injury) 
Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.89 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.96 (no injury) 
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.98 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.78 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 15.11 (no injury) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 97.66 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.27 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 34.68 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.35 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Burns: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.37 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.73 (no injury) 
Mf Andres Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.0 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.07 (no injury) 
Mf Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.3 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.05 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leon Baumann SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Stefan Jensen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19  17  26  28  77
  Bedford Town FC          10  15  44  51  17

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 33 (77 - 44); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 51) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 3 ((26 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 36

1: Attack for Df Benjamin Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 20.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Ian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Benjamin Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 68.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 20.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 0.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 20.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 91.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 70.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
32: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 81.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
35: Attack for Fw Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          10  15  44  51  17
  Welling United FC        19  17  26  28  77

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 26)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((51 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 77) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 20.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 72.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 64.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 73.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Andres Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 4  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Wow 77 front line
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/23 - 8:22 PM
This won’t go well
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/23 - 8:22 PM
Yes disappointment
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/23 - 8:22 PM
 
 
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