(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC BRIDGWATER TOWN
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Maximilian Isaksson 14 2 16 Gk Viggo Lindqvist 13 0 13
Sw Lewis Tufnel 9 0 9 Sw Luiz Dias 4 2 6
Df Graham Sansom 12 0 12 Df Oscar Martin 11 2 13
Df Patrick Hopkins 10 0 10 Df Jamie Whiteside 9 2 11
Df Andy Rees 7 2 9 Df Patrick Lynch 8 1 9
Mf Daniel James 13 2 15 Mf Baptiste Labbe 17 1 18
Mf Luca Cole 11 0 11 Mf Chuck Knox 9 2 11
Mf Juan Fernández 9 0 9 Mf Michael Taylor 8 2 10
Fw Alf Abrahamsen 14 2 16 Mf Geoffrey Simpson 5 2 7
Fw Adam Shaw 12 0 12 Fw Riley Holland 12 0 12
Fw Claudio Gentile 11 0 11 Fw Conall Walsh 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 9 31 35 39 ROSTER TOTALS 13 6 33 46 23
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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16 9 31 35 53 T O T A L S 13 6 33 46 23
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.04 (no red card)
Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.88 (no red card)
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.87 (no red card)
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.8 (no red card)
Df Andy Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.33 (no red card)
Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.66 (no red card)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.67 (no red card)
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.95 (no red card)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.82 (no red card)
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.86 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.9 (no red card)
******* BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Viggo Lindqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.0 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.26 (no red card)
Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.62 (no red card)
Df Oscar Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.54 (no red card)
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.47 (no red card)
Df Patrick Lynch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.14 (no red card)
Mf Baptiste Labbe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.94 (no red card)
Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.07 (no red card)
Mf Michael Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.98 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.95 (no second yellow)
Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.64 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.62 (no second yellow)
Fw Riley Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.28 (no red card)
Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.59 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.79 (no injury)
Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.81 (no injury)
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.14 (no injury)
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.38 (no injury)
Df Andy Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.24 (no injury)
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.7 (no injury)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.52 (no injury)
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.66 (no injury)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.6 (no injury)
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.13 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.43 (no injury)
******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Viggo Lindqvist: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury)
Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.13 (no injury)
Df Oscar Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.31 (no injury)
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.06 (no injury)
Df Patrick Lynch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.73 (no injury)
Mf Baptiste Labbe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.44 (no injury)
Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.41 (no injury)
Mf Michael Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.58 (no injury)
Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.68 (no injury)
Fw Riley Holland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.29 (no injury)
Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.82 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Viggo Lindqvist SL 13
intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Baptiste Labbe SL 17
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 14
intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 16 9 31 35 53
Bridgwater Town 13 6 33 46 23
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 20 (53 - 33); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 46) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 3 ((31 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 23
1: Attack for Df Graham Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 34.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Patrick Hopkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Patrick Hopkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bridgwater Town 13 6 33 46 23
Forest Green Rovers FC 16 9 31 35 53
Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 31)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 6 ((46 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Baptiste Labbe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 77.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Baptiste Labbe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 10.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Michael Taylor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Simpson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 3.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Simpson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Mf Michael Taylor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 4 - BRIDGWATER TOWN 2
Match Notes
10 defeats in a row. But we at home so will give it a go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/18 - 9:43 PM
oh my oh my
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/30 - 1:04 PM
10 defeats in a r ow remember.
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/30 - 1:04 PM
then FOUR goals. wow
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/30 - 1:04 PM