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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thiago Alves            9    2   11     Gk Francis Lloyd           9    1   10
Sw Ryan James             13    0   13     Df Harrison Rowbotham      9    0    9
Df Oscar Brennan          13    1   14     Df Jelle Beckers           9    0    9
Df Joshua Evans           12    0   12     Df Gordon Shaw             8    1    9
Df Marcelo Fernandez       9    2   11     Df Tihamér Pap             6    2    8
Mf Ollie Ince             13    1   14     Mf Giles Hanny             8    0    8
Mf Vegard  Haugland        9    2   11     Mf Harry Sinclair         10    1   11
Mf Gast?n Franco           5    2    7     Mf Andrea Marino           6    2    8
Fw George Shaw            13    0   13     Fw Tony Murray            10    1   11
Fw Taylor Cockayne        13    0   13     Fw Lucas Le gal            8    1    9
Fw Alfred Forsberg         9    2   11     Fw Wim Vandermark          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 13 37 32 37        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 35 27 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  3    
       0  0  4  0  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 13 41 32 42         T O T A L S       10  0 38 27 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.29 (no red card)

Sw Ryan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.29 (no red card)

Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.46 (no red card)

Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.03 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.08 (no red card)

Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.02 (no red card)

Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.7 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.62 (no red card)

Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.82 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.79 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.54 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.9 (no red card)

Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 82.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 95.02 (no red card)

Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 90.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 33.45 (no red card)

Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 85.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 59.95 (no red card)

Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 69.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 88.42 (no red card)

Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 8.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 60.31 (no second yellow)

Mf Harry Sinclair: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 75.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 74.73 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 93.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 65.59 (no red card)

Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 40.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 46.51 (no red card)

Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 6.27 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 7.03 (no second yellow)

Fw Wim Vandermark: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 28.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 44.48 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 71.92 (no injury) 
Sw Ryan James: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 4.15 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Ryan James is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ryan James new match skill level =  7
      Ryan James new match total level =  7
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 21.36 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 52.34 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 49.66 (no injury) 
Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 98.53 (no injury) 
Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 33.6 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 35.89 (no injury) 
Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 86.27 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 94.5 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 40.54 (no injury) 

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 89.79 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.48 (no injury) 
Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.75 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.6 (no injury) 
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.78 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.86 (no injury) 
Mf Harry Sinclair: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.56 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.45 (no injury) 
Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.62 (no injury) 
Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.47 (no injury) 
Fw Wim Vandermark: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Brennan SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Francis Lloyd SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 73 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harry Sinclair SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 9

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          11   7  41  32  42
  Marine FC                10   0  38  27  31

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 4 (42 - 38); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((32 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((41 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 6.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Joshua Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 10.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 79.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 98.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 51.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 75.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                10   0  38  27  31
  Carlton Town FC          11   7  41  32  42

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 41)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 42) / 5;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 4  -  MARINE FC 0
 
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