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Mossley AFC
David Blair
 
Kingstonian FC
Max Sellers
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jed Rooney             14    0   14     Gk Luis Escobar           13    1   14
Sw Bruce Richardson       12    0   12     Sw Graham Ball             8    2   10
Df Charles Hammond        10    1   11     Df Jake Birks             11    0   11
Df Devon Turner            8    2   10     Df Dave Shilton           11    0   11
Df Greg Banks              7    2    9     Df Kian Ruby              10    1   11
Mf Kian Thomas            13    0   13     Df Tim Beerman            10    0   10
Mf Patrick Durman         13    0   13     Mf Matthew Mahoney         9    0    9
Mf Archie Peters          11    1   12     Mf Erik Becker             9    2   11
Fw Charlie Jones          12    0   12     Fw Alfie Gerrard          14    1   15
Fw Liam Smith             10    1   11     Fw Jacob Robinson         10   -1    9
Fw James Mason             7    2    9     Fw Shayne Moore            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 30 38 32        ROSTER TOTALS      14 10 43 20 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 30 38 50         T O T A L S       14 10 43 20 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jed Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.51 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jed Rooney new match skill level =  7
      Jed Rooney new match total level =  7

Sw Bruce Richardson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.78 (no second yellow)

Df Charles Hammond: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.18 (no red card)

Df Devon Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.55 (no red card)

Df Greg Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.2 (no red card)

Mf Kian Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.01 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Durman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.58 (no red card)

Mf Archie Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.0 (no red card)

Fw Charlie Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.59 (no red card)

Fw Liam Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.09 (no red card)

Fw James Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.42 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luis Escobar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.61 (no second yellow)

Sw Graham Ball: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.92 (no red card)

Df Jake Birks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.83 (no red card)

Df Dave Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.95 (no red card)

Df Kian Ruby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.59 (no red card)

Df Tim Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.05 (no red card)

Mf Matthew Mahoney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.29 (no red card)

Mf Erik Becker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.6 (no red card)

Fw Alfie Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.99 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.94 (no red card)

Fw Shayne Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.67 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jed Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.23 (no injury) 
Sw Bruce Richardson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.33 (no injury) 
Df Charles Hammond: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.76 (no injury) 
Df Devon Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.52 (no injury) 
Df Greg Banks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.37 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.07 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Durman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.92 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.09 (no injury) 
Fw Charlie Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.92 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.56 (no injury) 
Fw James Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.73 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Luis Escobar: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.9 (no injury) 
Sw Graham Ball: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.0 (no injury) 
Df Jake Birks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.4 (no injury) 
Df Dave Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.99 (no injury) 
Df Kian Ruby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.6 (no injury) 
Df Tim Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.38 (no injury) 
Mf Matthew Mahoney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.43 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Becker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.09 (no injury) 
Fw Alfie Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.93 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.48 (no injury) 
Fw Shayne Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.56 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kian Thomas SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Luis Escobar SL 13

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfie Gerrard SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jed Rooney SL 7

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              7  12  30  38  50
  Kingstonian FC           14  10  43  20  33

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 7 (50 - 43); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 9 ((38 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Kian Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Patrick Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Patrick Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 89.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Kian Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Kian Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Archie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Archie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Archie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Kian Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Liam Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw James Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Liam Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Liam Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Charlie Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw James Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Liam Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           14  10  43  20  33
  Mossley AFC              7  12  30  38  50

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 3 (33 - 30); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Jacob Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 99.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Shayne Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 56.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Jacob Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 53.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 1  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Another must win game - problem is I am not winning many of these games.. :-(
David (Mossley AFC) 12/09 - 8:32 PM
Hardness of zero but GK is sent off. His reduced rating meant we lost when we would have got a draw. 😡
David (Mossley AFC) 12/16 - 9:51 AM
 
 
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