(H)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC WORKSOP TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jay Hussain 16 2 18 Gk Andrew Ryan 12 2 14 Sw Dave Nguyen 14 2 16 Df Don Griffiths 11 0 11 Df Pablo Arboleda 14 2 16 Df Zak Campbell 11 1 12 Df Martin Kennedy 14 2 16 Df Alfie McLean 9 0 9 Df Thomas McIntyre 9 2 11 Df Don Edwards 7 2 9 Mf William Carney 15 1 16 Mf Kieran Lawrence 8 2 10 Mf Noah Young 13 2 15 Mf Callum McGuire 7 2 9 Mf Owen Roberts 9 2 11 Mf Laurence Sansom 5 2 7 Fw Sean Moore 14 1 15 Fw Alexander Kilkenny 12 2 14 Fw Pedro Souza 13 2 15 Fw Harry Dowson 11 2 13 Fw Agustin Martínez 9 2 11 Fw Mathys Favier 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 16 43 42 41 ROSTER TOTALS 14 0 41 26 37 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 16 43 42 55 T O T A L S 14 0 41 26 37 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.48 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.18 (no red card) Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.8 (no red card) Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.02 (no red card) Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.24 (no red card) Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.95 (no red card) Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.52 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.95 (no second yellow) Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.47 (no red card) Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.11 (no red card) Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.93 (no red card) Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.63 (no red card) Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.69 (no red card) ******* WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.01 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.02 (no red card) Df Don Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.76 (no red card) Df Zak Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.03 (no red card) Df Alfie McLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.44 (no red card) Df Don Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.79 (no red card) Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.45 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Kieran Lawrence new match skill level = 4 Kieran Lawrence new match total level = 6 Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.83 (no red card) Mf Laurence Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.55 (no red card) Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.78 (no red card) Fw Harry Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.39 (no red card) Fw Mathys Favier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.87 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0 - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.29 (no injury) Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.31 (no injury) Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.62 (no injury) Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.3 (no injury) Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.12 (no injury) Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.43 (no injury) Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.49 (no injury) Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.46 (no injury) Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.63 (no injury) Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.8 (no injury) Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.84 (no injury) ******* WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 15.57 (no injury) Df Don Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.24 (no injury) Df Zak Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.28 (no injury) Df Alfie McLean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.0 (no injury) Df Don Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.47 (no injury) Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.41 (no injury) Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.55 (no injury) Mf Laurence Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.95 (no injury) Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.16 (no injury) Fw Harry Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.85 (no injury) Fw Mathys Favier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.27 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: William Carney SL 15 - Defending Gk: Andrew Ryan SL 12 intRndPk = 42 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alexander Kilkenny SL 12 - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16 intRndPk = 37 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Supermarine FC 18 16 43 42 55 Worksop Town FC 14 0 41 22 37 Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 14 (55 - 41); result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((42 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 2 ((43 - 37) / 3); result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 26 1: Attack for Df Martin Kennedy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 77.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 17.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 54.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Sean Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Sean Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 60.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Sean Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 32.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Sean Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 1.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Sean Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 28.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) ******* WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Worksop Town FC 14 0 41 22 37 Swindon Supermarine FC 18 16 43 42 55 Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 43) Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 42) / 2; rounded up) Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 55) / 5; rounded up) Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 2 - WORKSOP TOWN FC 0