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York City FC
James Tucker
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

YORK CITY FC                               ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo Dury               16    2   18     Gk Mark Daugherty         16    2   18
Sw Arran Wood             14    1   15     Sw Declan Wilson          15    2   17
Df Tom Cole               14    2   16     Df Matty Parsons          15   -1   14
Df David Beerman          13    2   15     Df Jannick Schmitz        13    2   15
Df Jamie Clarke           15    1   16     Mf Jeff Hunter            12    2   14
Mf Billy Garcia           11    2   13     Fw Diogo DaSilva           8    2   10
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez        9    2   11     Mf Donald Brown            9    2   11
Fw Nicola Marino          13    2   15     Fw Dennis Honeybun        15   -1   14
Fw David Sundberg         13    2   15     Fw Luca König             14    1   15
Fw Tom Parry              13    2   15     Fw Ezequiel  Segura       15    1   16
Fw Michael White           9    2   11     Fw Kai Burke               9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 47 24 56        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 29 25 66    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 47 24 66         T O T A L S       18 17 29 25 66    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.85 (no red card)

Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.09 (no red card)

Df Tom Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.75 (no red card)

Df David Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.12 (no red card)

Df Jamie Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.4 (no red card)

Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.78 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.46 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.26 (no red card)

Fw David Sundberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.48 (no red card)

Fw Tom Parry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.08 (no red card)

Fw Michael White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.6 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.15 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.87 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.54 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.7 (no red card)

Fw Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.85 (no red card)

Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.32 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.28 (no red card)

Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.69 (no red card)

Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.3 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 29.09 (no injury) 
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.06 (no injury) 
Df Tom Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.68 (no injury) 
Df David Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.47 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.86 (no injury) 
Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.56 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.02 (no injury) 
Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.78 (no injury) 
Fw David Sundberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.04 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Parry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.42 (no injury) 
Fw Michael White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.41 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 76.45 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.88 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.48 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.87 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.18 (no injury) 
Fw Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.28 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.71 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.51 (no injury) 
Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.48 (no injury) 
Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.55 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Clarke SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 16

     intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matty Parsons SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             18  15  47  24  66
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  29  25  66

York City FC Fw Attacks = 37 (66 - 29); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  29  25  66
  York City FC             18  15  47  24  66

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 19 (66 - 47); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Jeff Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Diogo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Diogo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
YORK CITY FC 1  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Promotion 6 pointer
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/23 - 9:43 AM
So close but its on our hands still.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/23 - 7:48 PM
 
 
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