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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Martin Denis           15    2   17     Gk Niklas Kaiser           9    2   11
Sw Fortunato  Torres       9    2   11     Sw David Gardner          15    0   15
Df Aidan O'Neil           14    2   16     Df Arno Christiaens       14    0   14
Df Benjamin Newton        14    2   16     Df Tivadar Lengyel        14    0   14
Df Martim Alves           13    2   15     Df Carlos Rodriguez        9    2   11
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      14    2   16     Df Jake Whyte              5    2    7
Mf Lewis Smith            13    2   15     Mf Luis Guerrero          14    0   14
Fw Braulio  Salas         14    2   16     Mf Mika Schmidt           11    0   11
Fw Blair Munro            13    2   15     Mf Leor Chadad             9    2   11
Fw John Coppell           16    1   17     Fw Ryan Clemence          16    0   16
Fw Cooper Smith            9    0    9     Mf Julius Evensen         12   -1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 47 31 57        ROSTER TOTALS      11 15 46 47 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 11 47 31 66         T O T A L S       14 15 46 47 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.13 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.38 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.6 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.19 (no red card)

Df Martim Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.18 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.33 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.92 (no red card)

Fw Blair Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.85 (no red card)

Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.46 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.16 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.81 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.58 (no second yellow)

Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.95 (no red card)

Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.01 (no red card)

Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.56 (no second yellow)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.15 (no red card)

Mf Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.61 (no red card)

Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.23 (no red card)

Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.76 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.37 (no red card)

Mf Julius Evensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.05 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.06 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Fortunato  Torres is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Fortunato  Torres new match skill level =  5
      Fortunato  Torres new match total level =  7
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.64 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.05 (no injury) 
Df Martim Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.68 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.67 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.07 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.42 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.31 (no injury) 
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.59 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.42 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 30.07 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.27 (no injury) 
Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.59 (no injury) 
Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.69 (no injury) 
Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.73 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.93 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.59 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.39 (no injury) 
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.81 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.63 (no injury) 
Mf Julius Evensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.77 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: John Coppell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 9

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Clemence SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20   7  47  31  66
  Chasetown FC             14  15  46  47  16

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 20 (66 - 46); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 11 ((47 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Martim Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Martim Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Martim Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 71.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             14  15  46  47  16
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20   7  47  31  66

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 47)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((47 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Mika Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 76.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Mika Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Julius Evensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Mika Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Julius Evensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Julius Evensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 3  -  CHASETOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Big underdogs today against Mr. Cockayne...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/22 - 11:00 PM
Well beaten here, on the pitch, and at the mind games
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/29 - 5:02 PM
 
 
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