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Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DROYLSDEN FC                               HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Cameron Wells          15    2   17     Gk Martin Denis           15    2   17
Sw Andy Scott             13    2   15     Sw Fortunato  Torres      10   -1    9
Df Nico König             15    2   17     Df Aidan O'Neil           15    2   17
Df Randy Lane             13    2   15     Df Benjamin Newton        14    2   16
Df Abe Castro             11    2   13     Df Ben Lawrence            9    2   11
Mf Oscar Brown            15    2   17     Mf Juan Jose Carmona      14    2   16
Mf Graham Banks            9    2   11     Mf Luis Schmidt            9    2   11
Fw Evan Smalls            15    2   17     Fw Braulio  Salas         15    2   17
Fw Mathis Verschueren     15    2   17     Fw Hans Fischer           14    2   16
Fw Manuel Otero           11    2   13     Fw John Coppell           16    1   17
Fw Thomas King             9    2   11     Fw Cooper Smith            9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 45 28 58        ROSTER TOTALS      17  9 44 27 59    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 45 32 63         T O T A L S       20  9 44 27 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Cameron Wells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.86 (no red card)

Sw Andy Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.76 (no second yellow)

Df Nico König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.14 (no red card)

Df Randy Lane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.71 (no red card)

Df Abe Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.59 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.76 (no red card)

Mf Graham Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.01 (no red card)

Fw Evan Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.78 (no red card)

Fw Mathis Verschueren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.45 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Otero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.35 (no red card)

Fw Thomas King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.04 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.0 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.01 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.19 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.94 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.77 (no second yellow)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.4 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.74 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.66 (no second yellow)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.18 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.34 (no red card)

Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.15 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Cameron Wells: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.12 (no injury) 
Sw Andy Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.69 (no injury) 
Df Nico König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.68 (no injury) 
Df Randy Lane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.43 (no injury) 
Df Abe Castro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.89 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Abe Castro is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Abe Castro new match skill level =  6
      Abe Castro new match total level =  8
Mf Oscar Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.32 (no injury) 
Mf Graham Banks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.5 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.2 (no injury) 
Fw Mathis Verschueren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.64 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Otero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.31 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.51 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.58 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.12 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.22 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.96 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.41 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.01 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.03 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.4 (no injury) 
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.55 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nico König SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: John Coppell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Cameron Wells SL 15

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 80 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             17  15  40  32  63
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20   9  44  27  59

Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 19 (63 - 44); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((32 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Graham Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Graham Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Oscar Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 37.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Thomas King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Manuel Otero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 58.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 94.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Thomas King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 8.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Manuel Otero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Thomas King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 53.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Manuel Otero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 82.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Manuel Otero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 99.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20   9  44  27  59
  Droylsden FC             17  15  40  32  63

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (59 - 40); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DROYLSDEN FC 2  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Couple of tough games for us this session - starting with the visit of the current leaders.
Dave (Droylsden FC) 03/30 - 11:02 AM
You can't avoid promotion now, Al.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/30 - 11:30 AM
Sigh, I guess there's no avoiding promotion now...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/30 - 1:11 PM
Promote Al now.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/30 - 5:18 PM
I like the effort here from Dave. At least he tried to keep us from promotion. Well played Dave!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 04/01 - 12:34 AM
Good match
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 04/01 - 6:15 PM
Goal difference crucial with 1 match to go...
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 04/01 - 6:16 PM
 
 
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