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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thiago Alves            9    2   11     Gk Viggo Lindqvist        13    0   13
Df Oscar Brennan          13    1   14     Sw Mark Wright            10    0   10
Df Joshua Evans           12    0   12     Df Oscar Martin           12    2   14
Df Marcelo Fernandez       9    2   11     Df Derek Cook             12    2   14
Mf Thomas Mason           15    1   16     Df Jamie Whiteside         9    2   11
Mf Mariano Lopez          12    1   13     Mf Baptiste Labbe         17    1   18
Mf Charles Mills          10    2   12     Mf Michael Taylor          8    2   10
Fw George Shaw            14    0   14     Mf Geoffrey Simpson        5    2    7
Fw Taylor Cockayne        13    0   13     Fw Ryan Lambert           11    2   13
Fw Tommaso Villa          12    1   13     Fw Conall Walsh            9    2   11
Fw Alfred Forsberg         9    2   11     Fw Tyler Trickelbank       5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 37 41 51        ROSTER TOTALS      13 10 39 35 31    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  4  0  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  9  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 41 41 56         T O T A L S       13 10 48 37 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.67 (no red card)

Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.09 (no red card)

Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.88 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.4 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.49 (no red card)

Mf Mariano Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.02 (no red card)

Mf Charles Mills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.79 (no red card)

Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.75 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.38 (no red card)

Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.21 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.81 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Viggo Lindqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.99 (no red card)

Sw Mark Wright: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.58 (no red card)

Df Oscar Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.55 (no red card)

Df Derek Cook: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.75 (no red card)

Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.47 (no red card)

Mf Baptiste Labbe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.6 (no red card)

Mf Michael Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.36 (no red card)

Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.25 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Lambert: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.02 (no red card)

Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.33 (no red card)

Fw Tyler Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 51.41 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.37 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.28 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.04 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.19 (no injury) 
Mf Mariano Lopez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.41 (no injury) 
Mf Charles Mills: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.06 (no injury) 
Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.97 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.97 (no injury) 
Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.02 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.93 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Viggo Lindqvist: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 52.66 (no injury) 
Sw Mark Wright: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.37 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.69 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Oscar Martin is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Oscar Martin new match skill level =  6
      Oscar Martin new match total level =  8
Df Derek Cook: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 31.29 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.95 (no injury) 
Mf Baptiste Labbe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.88 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.93 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Michael Taylor is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.26 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.19 (no injury) 
Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.04 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 51.17 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Mason SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Viggo Lindqvist SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Baptiste Labbe SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 9

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          11   0  41  41  56
  Bridgwater Town          13  10  42  37  31

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 14 (56 - 42); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((41 - 37) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((41 - 31) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 31.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Mariano Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Charles Mills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 36.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 56.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          13  10  42  37  31
  Carlton Town FC          11   0  41  41  56

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 41)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 1  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 0
 
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