MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Thursday, April 18th, 2024 - 10:35:27 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            18    2   20     Gk Dylan Foster           16    2   18
Sw Riley O'Brien          15    2   17     Sw Jason Meyer            15    2   17
Df Lee Robertson          14    1   15     Df Fabian Schulz          18    0   18
Df Kian Doyle             13    1   14     Df Logan Peters           12    1   13
Fw Oscar Hall             16    2   18     Df Harvey Marshall        11    2   13
Mf Aarron Shepherd        14    1   15     Df Robin Ostrander         9    2   11
Mf Archie Blair           12    0   12     Mf Cameron Hill            9    2   11
Fw Paul Ellis             15    2   17     Mf Jonathan Heddle         5    2    7
Fw Josh MacDonald         13    2   15     Fw Nils Schneider          9    2   11
Fw Erik Lang              13    0   13     Fw William Johnson         9    1   10
Fw Isaac Howells          10    2   12     Fw Facundo Bruno           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      20 17 29 27 75        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 55 18 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 17 29 28 83         T O T A L S       18 17 55 19 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.71 (no red card)

Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.48 (no red card)

Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.43 (no red card)

Df Kian Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.27 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.51 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.08 (no red card)

Mf Archie Blair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.66 (no red card)

Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.42 (no red card)

Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.79 (no red card)

Fw Erik Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.84 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.58 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.73 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.32 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.42 (no red card)

Df Logan Peters: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.9 (no red card)

Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.11 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.41 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.83 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.26 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.52 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.89 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.38 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.43 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 86.0 (no injury) 
Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.91 (no injury) 
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.04 (no injury) 
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.86 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.87 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.62 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Blair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.92 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.36 (no injury) 
Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.45 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Lang: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.52 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.0 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 98.14 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.38 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.17 (no injury) 
Df Logan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.69 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.64 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.74 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.52 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.33 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.65 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.11 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20  17  29  28  83
  Luton Town FC            18  17  55  19  28

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 28 (83 - 55); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 5 ((28 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((29 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Archie Blair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Archie Blair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Erik Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            18  17  55  19  28
  AFC Wimbledon            20  17  29  28  83

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 29)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 83) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 1  -  LUTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Another must win
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/29 - 12:16 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions