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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Shaiming Ma            16    1   17     Gk Niklas Kaiser           9    2   11
Sw Rhys Porter            14    2   16     Sw David Gardner          15    0   15
Df Rayan Blanc            14    0   14     Df Harley Hanny           10    2   12
Df Ollie Hanny            12    1   13     Mf Arno Christiaens       13    0   13
Df Aaron Hardy            11    1   12     Df Tivadar Lengyel        14    0   14
Df Ryan Lasserre          10    2   12     Fw Luis Guerrero          12    0   12
Mf Martín Paz             16    2   18     Mf Mika Schmidt           11    0   11
Mf Dominic Webster        16    2   18     Fw Ryan Clemence          16    0   16
Fw Cristobal Ramos        15   -2   13     Fw Scott Shaw             15    0   15
Fw Stian Sørensen         14    1   15     Fw Julius Evensen         14   -1   13
Fw Joe Cleverley          16    2   18     Fw Gerry Ruddle            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 51 36 46        ROSTER TOTALS      11 15 26 24 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  8    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 19 60 36 46         T O T A L S       11 15 26 24 71    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.9 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.22 (no red card)

Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.22 (no red card)

Df Ollie Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.54 (no red card)

Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.91 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.0 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.73 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.61 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.15 (no red card)

Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.43 (no red card)

Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.03 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.62 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.28 (no red card)

Df Harley Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.18 (no red card)

Mf Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.82 (no red card)

Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.64 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.34 (no red card)

Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.72 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.45 (no red card)

Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.4 (no red card)

Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.78 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.92 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Rhys Porter is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Rhys Porter new match skill level =  7
      Rhys Porter new match total level =  9
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.94 (no injury) 
Df Ollie Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.27 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.28 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.22 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.63 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.67 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.08 (no injury) 
Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.76 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.97 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.26 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.63 (no injury) 
Df Harley Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.03 (no injury) 
Mf Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.22 (no injury) 
Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.13 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.35 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.31 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.21 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.45 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.05 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martín Paz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 9

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Clemence SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Shaiming Ma SL 16

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                20  12  60  36  46
  Chasetown FC             11  15  26  24  71

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 20 (46 - 26); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 6 ((36 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((60 - 71) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 14.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 39.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 49.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 68.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 30.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 31.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 24.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             11  15  26  24  71
  AFC Fylde                20  12  60  36  46

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 11 (71 - 60); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 4.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 20.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 27.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 55.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 2  -  CHASETOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
This is a must win if we're to avoid relegation
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/29 - 5:03 PM
So we finish rock bottom after a promising start. We will come again....I hope...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/30 - 7:20 PM
Win but still relegated
Phil (AFC Fylde) 04/06 - 1:35 PM
 
 
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