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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      HALIFAX TOWN AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Martin Denis           15    2   17     Gk Mario Leone            11    2   13
Sw Fortunato  Torres      10   -1    9     Sw Abel Ríos              15    2   17
Df Aidan O'Neil           15    2   17     Df Mark Shaw              15    2   17
Df Benjamin Newton        14    2   16     Df Daniel Müller          13    2   15
Df Ben Lawrence            9    2   11     Df Jonas Walter           11    2   13
Df Trevor Harewood         5    2    7     Mf Michael Reilly         13    2   15
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      14    2   16     Mf Carrington Brudenell   13    1   14
Mf Luis Schmidt            9    2   11     Mf Michael Reed            9    1   10
Fw Braulio  Salas         15    2   17     Fw Gabriel Lee            16    2   18
Fw John Coppell           16    1   17     Mf Bobby Sherman          17   -2   15
Fw Cooper Smith            9    0    9     Fw Enzo Dupont             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  9 51 27 43        ROSTER TOTALS      13 17 45 54 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  9 51 27 52         T O T A L S       16 17 52 54 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.92 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.08 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.42 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.46 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.52 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.34 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.25 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.36 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.54 (no red card)

Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.91 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.94 (no red card)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Mario Leone: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 55.85 (no red card)

Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.6 (no red card)

Df Mark Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.75 (no red card)

Df Daniel Müller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.85 (no second yellow)

Df Jonas Walter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.6 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.43 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.66 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.81 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.51 (no red card)

Mf Bobby Sherman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.46 (no red card)

Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.22 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 11.6 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.9 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.13 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.28 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.85 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.86 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.02 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.32 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.09 (no injury) 
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.16 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.73 (no injury) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mario Leone: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 2.45 (no injury) 
Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.03 (no injury) 
Df Mark Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.3 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Müller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.07 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Walter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.7 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.21 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Carrington Brudenell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Carrington Brudenell new match skill level =  7
      Carrington Brudenell new match total level =  8
Mf Michael Reed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.46 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.32 (no injury) 
Mf Bobby Sherman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.41 (no injury) 
Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.62 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: John Coppell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mario Leone SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bobby Sherman SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17   9  51  27  52
  Halifax Town AFC         16  17  52  48  25

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (52 - 52)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 9 ((51 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Trevor Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Trevor Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         16  17  52  48  25
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17   9  51  27  52

Halifax Town AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 51)
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 5 ((48 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Carrington Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Bobby Sherman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Michael Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Bobby Sherman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Carrington Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0  -  HALIFAX TOWN AFC 1
 
Match Notes
A trip to our divisional leaders is a worry when you are trying to stay up!
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/28 - 11:46 AM
Looks like an easy 3 points to Mr. Hall today.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/30 - 1:11 PM
As expected an easy 3 points for Vick. Well played sir!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 04/01 - 12:39 AM
 
 
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