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Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
 
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WORKSOP TOWN FC                            FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrew Ryan            13    2   15     Gk Maximilian Isaksson    14    2   16
Df Liam Åkesson           13    2   15     Sw Lewis Tufnel            9    0    9
Df Don Griffiths          12    1   13     Df Graham Sansom          13    0   13
Df Zak Campbell           11    1   12     Df Patrick Hopkins        10    0   10
Df Harley Watson           5    2    7     Df Ellis Fisher            7    2    9
Mf Max Webb               13    2   15     Mf Daniel James           13    2   15
Mf Benjamin Robinson      14    2   16     Mf Luca Cole              12    0   12
Mf Kieran Lawrence         8    2   10     Mf Juan Fernández          9    0    9
Mf Callum McGuire          8    2   10     Fw Alf Abrahamsen         14    2   16
Fw Harry Dowson           11    2   13     Fw Adam Shaw              12    0   12
Fw Peder Laursen           5    2    7     Fw Claudio Gentile        11    0   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 47 51 20        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 32 36 39    
       0  0  3  0  3          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  7    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 52 53 28         T O T A L S       16  9 32 36 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.84 (no red card)

Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 44.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 59.07 (no red card)

Df Don Griffiths: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 13.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 38.34 (no red card)

Df Zak Campbell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 44.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 48.25 (no red card)

Df Harley Watson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 79.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 10.52 (no red card)

Mf Max Webb: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 65.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 59.76 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Robinson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 99.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 10.13 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 2.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 68.11 (no second yellow)

Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 35.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 89.58 (no red card)

Fw Harry Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 60.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 35.67 (no red card)

Fw Peder Laursen: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 59.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 37.42 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.58 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.2 (no red card)

Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.95 (no red card)

Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.73 (no red card)

Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.13 (no red card)

Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.01 (no red card)

Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.78 (no red card)

Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.77 (no red card)

Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.81 (no red card)

Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.71 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 5.55 (no injury) 
Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.3 (no injury) 
Df Don Griffiths: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.3 (no injury) 
Df Zak Campbell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.13 (no injury) 
Df Harley Watson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.93 (no injury) 
Mf Max Webb: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.26 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.89 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.2 (no injury) 
Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.05 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.34 (no injury) 
Fw Peder Laursen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.55 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.26 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 4.67 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Lewis Tufnel loses 6 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lewis Tufnel new match skill level =  5
      Lewis Tufnel new match total level =  5
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 99.46 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 48.26 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 71.59 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 49.26 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 38.29 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 83.28 (no injury) 
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 21.07 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 11.15 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 1.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Claudio Gentile loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Claudio Gentile new match skill level =  6
      Claudio Gentile new match total level =  6
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Benjamin Robinson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 14

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Andrew Ryan SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 88 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Worksop Town FC          15   0  52  53  28
  Forest Green Rovers FC   16   5  32  36  41

Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 32)
Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((53 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((52 - 41) / 5); result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Don Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Zak Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Don Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 13.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 57.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Benjamin Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Benjamin Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Benjamin Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Benjamin Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   16   5  32  36  41
  Worksop Town FC          15   0  52  53  28

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (41 - 52)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 53) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 2 ((32 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Graham Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Patrick Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WORKSOP TOWN FC 0  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
 
Match Notes
away from home tricky, but top team out for this one for one last push for 3 points
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/30 - 1:07 PM
Torrid season, but to end with 3 wins and a draw gives us hope.
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 04/01 - 6:21 PM
 
 
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