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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     DROYLSDEN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maximilian Isaksson     9    0    9     Gk Zak Hills              12    0   12
Sw Lewis Tufnel            9    0    9     Sw Andy Scott             12    0   12
Df Patrick Hopkins        10    0   10     Df Randy Lane             13    0   13
Df Graham Sansom          11    0   11     Df Abe Castro             11    0   11
Df Andy Rees               7    0    7     Df Nico König             10    0   10
Mf Daniel James           10    0   10     Mf Nathan Barry           13    0   13
Mf Juan Fernández          7    0    7     Mf Graham Banks            5    2    7
Mf David Cruz              6    0    6     Fw Mathis Verschueren     15    0   15
Fw Alf Abrahamsen         11    0   11     Fw Manuel Otero           11    0   11
Fw Adam Shaw              11    0   11     Fw Evan Smalls            10    0   10
Fw Claudio Gentile        11    0   11     Fw Thomas King             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  9 28 23 33        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 34 20 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  9 28 23 33         T O T A L S       12 12 34 20 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.18 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.5 (no red card)

Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.11 (no red card)

Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.51 (no red card)

Df Andy Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.0 (no red card)

Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.12 (no red card)

Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.79 (no red card)

Mf David Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.0 (no red card)

Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.48 (no red card)

Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.28 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.18 (no red card)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Zak Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.64 (no red card)

Sw Andy Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.18 (no red card)

Df Randy Lane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.78 (no red card)

Df Abe Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.0 (no red card)

Df Nico König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.69 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.18 (no red card)

Mf Graham Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.83 (no red card)

Fw Mathis Verschueren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.29 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Otero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.57 (no red card)

Fw Evan Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.55 (no red card)

Fw Thomas King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.71 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.55 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.12 (no injury) 
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.39 (no injury) 
Df Andy Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.55 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.06 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.62 (no injury) 
Mf David Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.33 (no injury) 
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.3 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.66 (no injury) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Zak Hills: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.22 (no injury) 
Sw Andy Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.11 (no injury) 
Df Randy Lane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.45 (no injury) 
Df Abe Castro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.47 (no injury) 
Df Nico König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.82 (no injury) 
Mf Graham Banks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.53 (no injury) 
Fw Mathis Verschueren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.52 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Otero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.46 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.56 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.53 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Graham Sansom SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Zak Hills SL 12

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mathis Verschueren SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 9

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   9   9  28  23  33
  Droylsden FC             12  12  34  20  43

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 34)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((23 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Daniel James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 81.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Daniel James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             12  12  34  20  43
  Forest Green Rovers FC   9   9  28  23  33

Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 15 (43 - 28); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 1 ((34 - 33) / 3); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Nico König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Thomas King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 66.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 99.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 44.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 22.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Manuel Otero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 6.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 52.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 16.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1  -  DROYLSDEN FC 4
 
Match Notes
We are utter pants in Cup games, but shall give it a go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/24 - 9:31 PM
We are utter pants in Cup games, but gave it a go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/03 - 1:36 PM
 
 
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