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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
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John Holden
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KENDAL TOWN FC                             AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gareth Green           14    0   14     Gk Gordon Wilkins         13    0   13
Sw Harry Stewart          13    0   13     Sw Diego Azevedo          11    0   11
Df Bailey Bradley          9    0    9     Df Simon Charlton         13    0   13
Df Lucas Hill             10    0   10     Df Carrington Green       11    0   11
Mf Joe Walsh              17    0   17     Df Charles Clarke         10    0   10
Mf Roger Flinders         10    0   10     Mf Thomas Thomsen         11    0   11
Fw Ryan McDonald          13    0   13     Mf Ashton Ali             10    0   10
Fw Andrew O'Neal          10    0   10     Fw Angus Williamson       13    0   13
Fw Roger Patel            10    0   10     Fw Harvey Davis           14    0   14
Fw Jermaine Rogers         5    2    7     Fw Giorgio Grasso         10    0   10
Fw Aaron Quinn             5    2    7     Fw Giles Lee              10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 19 27 47        ROSTER TOTALS      13 11 34 21 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 19 27 47         T O T A L S       14 11 34 21 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.03 (no red card)

Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.29 (no red card)

Df Bailey Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.86 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.32 (no second yellow)

Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.6 (no red card)

Mf Joe Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.54 (no red card)

Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.93 (no red card)

Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.77 (no red card)

Fw Andrew O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.55 (no red card)

Fw Roger Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.6 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.65 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.06 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 67.14 (no red card)

Sw Diego Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.68 (no second yellow)

Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card)

Df Carrington Green: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.93 (no red card)

Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.41 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.49 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.59 (no red card)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.14 (no second yellow)

Fw Harvey Davis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.23 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.62 (no red card)

Fw Giles Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 38.3 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.05 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Bradley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.1 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.01 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.32 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.83 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.45 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew O'Neal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.45 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Patel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.15 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.83 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.18 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 8.63 (no injury) 
Sw Diego Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.67 (no injury) 
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.35 (no injury) 
Df Carrington Green: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.25 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.67 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.69 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.38 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.78 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Davis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.07 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.15 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Walsh SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Davis SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 14

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           14  13  19  27  47
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   14  11  34  21  47

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 13 (47 - 34); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((27 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Andrew O'Neal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Roger Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Roger Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Andrew O'Neal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 74.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   14  11  34  21  47
  Kendal Town FC           14  13  19  27  47

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 28 (47 - 19); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 27.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 1.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 17.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 93.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KENDAL TOWN FC 3  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2
 
Match Notes
What a cup draw. Thanks OLMEC.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/23 - 7:15 PM
My thoughts exactly!
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 01/26 - 11:21 PM
It's going to be a long long season
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/02 - 8:17 PM
 
 
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