(N)
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
AP Cup Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Ethan Murray 2 2 4 Gk Martin Denis 12 0 12 Sw Sylar Mack 13 0 13 Sw Fortunato Torres 5 2 7 Df Bailey Dowson 10 0 10 Df Pablo Vera 6 0 6 Df Agustín Delgado 8 0 8 Df Ben Lawrence 5 2 7 Df Melvin Bergman 2 2 4 Df Trevor Harewood 2 2 4 Mf Theo Cleverley 10 0 10 Mf Luis Schmidt 5 2 7 Mf Mason Whiteside 5 2 7 Mf Michael Möller 2 2 4 Mf Cristobal Benitez 2 2 4 Fw Braulio Salas 10 0 10 Fw Arthur Whelan 13 0 13 Fw Terry Reese 9 0 9 Fw Kieran Cole 8 0 8 Fw Cooper Smith 5 2 7 Fw Baron Marshall 5 2 7 Fw William Torres 2 2 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 13 22 21 28 ROSTER TOTALS 12 7 17 11 30 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 4 13 27 23 28 T O T A L S 12 7 17 11 30 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Ethan Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.2 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card) Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.45 (no red card) Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.18 (no red card) Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.61 (no red card) Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.47 (no red card) Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.79 (no red card) Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.59 (no red card) Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.84 (no red card) Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.83 (no red card) Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.46 (no red card) Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.11 (no red card) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.19 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.91 (no red card) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.38 (no red card) Df Pablo Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.27 (no red card) Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.18 (no red card) Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.99 (no red card) Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.81 (no red card) Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.28 (no red card) Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.09 (no red card) Fw Terry Reese: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.17 (no red card) Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.57 (no red card) Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.67 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Ethan Murray: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.36 (no injury) Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.04 (no injury) Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.54 (no injury) Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.05 (no injury) Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.89 (no injury) Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.83 (no injury) Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.04 (no injury) Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no injury) Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.19 (no injury) Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.17 (no injury) Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.46 (no injury) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0 - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.08 (no injury) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.75 (no injury) Df Pablo Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.76 (no injury) Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.03 (no injury) Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.49 (no injury) Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.72 (no injury) Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.95 (no injury) Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.97 (no injury) Fw Terry Reese: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.97 (no injury) Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.42 (no injury) Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.19 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Arthur Whelan SL 13 - Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 12 intRndPk = 4 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 86 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Braulio Salas SL 10 - Defending Gk: Ethan Murray SL 2 intRndPk = 76 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- FC United of Manchester 4 13 27 23 28 Harrogate Railway AFC 12 7 17 11 30 FC United of Manchester is Playing For A Draw! FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 6 (28 - 17) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 3 ((23 - 11) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 3; rounded up) FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 86.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 84.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Kieran Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Kieran Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Harrogate Railway AFC 12 7 17 11 30 FC United of Manchester 4 13 27 23 28 Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (30 - 27); result rounded up Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((11 - 23) / 2; rounded up) Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 28) / 3; rounded up) Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 3 1: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw William Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 16.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Terry Reese Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 4 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
Match Notes
With the new slate of budding stars signed by the Rail in the pre-season, we have little chance here unless they are all resting to gain Fit early. We anticipate a sound, and scoreless for us, defeat
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/24 - 3:31 PM
It has been 26 seasons since we've beaten FCU in an AP Cup Group 2 match...sigh...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/27 - 1:33 AM
TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Phil (AFC Fylde) 01/27 - 6:12 PM
That was a bit ugly! Well done Kevin!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/28 - 2:41 AM
Incredible and undeserved, with a PK and 3 goals on 9 chances. Interestingly, FCU had all 3 matches feature a 0-hardness PK goal this session. I don’t recall ever seeing that before
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/30 - 4:20 PM