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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           15    2   17     Gk Gordon Wilkins         15    1   16
Sw Douglas Pereira        12    2   14     Sw Diego Azevedo          11    0   11
Df Ben Neuville           10    2   12     Df Simon Charlton         13    1   14
Df Ian Jackson             6    2    8     Df Carrington Green       11    0   11
Fw Eoghan Carroll         12    2   14     Df Lucas Soramaki          6    2    8
Mf Leon Baumann           11    2   13     Mf Thomas Thomsen         11    0   11
Mf Josè Guerrero           6    2    8     Mf Scott Chapman          10    0   10
Fw Gordon Andrews         13    2   15     Mf Niklas König            3    2    5
Fw Luca Ferguson           9    0    9     Fw Harvey Davis           14    1   15
Fw Lorenzo Santana         6    2    8     Fw Giles Lee              10    2   12
Fw Nils Pettersson         3    2    5     Fw Mark Solomon            6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 14 20 21 51        ROSTER TOTALS      16 11 33 26 35    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 20 21 60         T O T A L S       17 11 33 26 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 45.37 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.35 (no red card)

Df Ben Neuville: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.42 (no red card)

Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card)

Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.95 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.67 (no red card)

Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.36 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.36 (no red card)

Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.11 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.87 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.25 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 89.23 (no red card)

Sw Diego Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.44 (no red card)

Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.7 (no red card)

Df Carrington Green: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.61 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.79 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.35 (no red card)

Mf Scott Chapman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.82 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.18 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Davis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.46 (no red card)

Fw Giles Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.83 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 22.85 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.41 (no injury) 
Df Ben Neuville: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.94 (no injury) 
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.28 (no injury) 
Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.94 (no injury) 
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.18 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.74 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.06 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.63 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.93 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Nils Pettersson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Nils Pettersson new match skill level =  2
      Nils Pettersson new match total level =  4

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 67.48 (no injury) 
Sw Diego Azevedo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 58.67 (no injury) 
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.79 (no injury) 
Df Carrington Green: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.4 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.45 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.6 (no injury) 
Mf Scott Chapman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.55 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.37 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Davis: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.1 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Lee: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.5 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Andrews SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Davis SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18  14  20  21  59
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  11  33  26  35

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 26 (59 - 33); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 46.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  11  33  26  35
  Welling United FC        18  14  20  21  59

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 15 (35 - 20); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Thomas Thomsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 3  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
 
Match Notes
WEL have won vs RUS ONCE since season 21
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/05 - 5:25 PM
This starts the session from hell, Welling twice
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/10 - 7:32 PM
 
 
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