(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
York City FC
James Tucker
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LUTON TOWN FC YORK CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dylan Foster 14 2 16 Gk Leo Dury 15 2 17 Sw Jason Meyer 11 2 13 Sw Arran Wood 10 0 10 Df Fabian Schulz 15 0 15 Df David Beerman 13 1 14 Df Logan Peters 12 0 12 Df Jamie Clarke 15 1 16 Df Harvey Marshall 10 2 12 Df Tom Cole 10 2 12 Mf Jung Hee Kwon 11 1 12 Mf Billy Garcia 11 1 12 Mf Harrison McBrayne 10 2 12 Mf Jesse Burns 11 0 11 Mf Vincent Lecoeur 8 2 10 Fw Tom Beerman 13 2 15 Fw Kerecsen Deák 11 1 12 Fw David Sundberg 13 2 15 Fw Tom Bell 10 0 10 Fw Tom Parry 13 2 15 Fw Howard Dennis 8 2 10 Fw Nicola Marino 10 1 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 13 39 34 32 ROSTER TOTALS 17 10 42 23 56 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 16 39 37 38 T O T A L S 20 10 42 23 57 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.0 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.91 (no red card) Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.61 (no red card) Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.98 (no red card) Df Logan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.98 (no red card) Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.57 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.14 (no second yellow) Mf Jung Hee Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.95 (no red card) Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.01 (no red card) Mf Vincent Lecoeur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.53 (no red card) Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.73 (no red card) Fw Tom Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.93 (no red card) Fw Howard Dennis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.33 (no red card) ******* YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.36 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.04 (no red card) Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.98 (no red card) Df David Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.39 (no red card) Df Jamie Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.16 (no red card) Df Tom Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.06 (no red card) Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.61 (no red card) Mf Jesse Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.91 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.22 (no second yellow) Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.28 (no red card) Fw David Sundberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.0 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.27 (no second yellow) Fw Tom Parry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.08 (no red card) Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.29 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - York City FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 64.48 (no injury) Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.87 (no injury) Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.1 (no injury) Df Logan Peters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.08 (no injury) Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.59 (no injury) Mf Jung Hee Kwon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.83 (no injury) Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.78 (no injury) Mf Vincent Lecoeur: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.31 (no injury) Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.37 (no injury) Fw Tom Bell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.54 (no injury) Fw Howard Dennis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.82 (no injury) ******* YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - York City FC Team Hardness = 1 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 71.62 (no injury) Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.25 (no injury) Df David Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.19 (no injury) Df Jamie Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.38 (no injury) Df Tom Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.52 (no injury) Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.07 (no injury) Mf Jesse Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.57 (no injury) Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.97 (no injury) Fw David Sundberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.21 (no injury) Fw Tom Parry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.75 (no injury) Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.34 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 15 - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jamie Clarke SL 15 - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 14 intRndPk = 69 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 16 16 39 37 38 York City FC 20 10 42 23 57 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 42) Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((37 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 7 1: Attack for Mf Jung Hee Kwon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 87.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 17.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Jung Hee Kwon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Jung Hee Kwon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Jung Hee Kwon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Vincent Lecoeur Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 87.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- York City FC 20 10 42 23 57 Luton Town FC 16 16 39 37 38 York City FC Fw Attacks = 18 (57 - 39); result rounded up York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 37) / 2; rounded up) York City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((42 - 38) / 3); result rounded up York City FC Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Df David Beerman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Tom Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw David Sundberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Tom Parry Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Tom Parry Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Tom Parry Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Tom Parry Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Tom Parry Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw David Sundberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Tom Parry Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LUTON TOWN FC 2 - YORK CITY FC 0
Match Notes
York looks like the better T11, hoping the home advantage smooths that out for us. Best of luck, James!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/03 - 9:16 PM
Not getting a great deal of luck this season!
James (York City FC) 02/10 - 9:49 PM