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AFC Fylde
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FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Shaiming Ma            15   -1   14     Gk Morgan James           13    2   15
Sw Rhys Porter            10    2   12     Sw Linus Lehmann           9    1   10
Df Ollie Hanny            12    0   12     Df Kåre  Sivertsen        13    0   13
Df Aaron Hardy            11    0   11     Df Andy Davis             12    0   12
Df Rayan Blanc            10    0   10     Df Sebastian Castillo      6    2    8
Mf Dominic Webster        15    1   16     Mf Claudio Ferrari        12    1   13
Mf Martín Paz             13    1   14     Mf Damien Monin            6    2    8
Mf Roger Harewood         10    0   10     Fw Billy Moore            15    1   16
Fw Cristobal Ramos        14    1   15     Fw Carrington Wilkins     12    1   13
Fw Stian Sørensen         13    1   14     Fw Shay  Holland          11    0   11
Fw Joe Cleverley          16    1   17     Fw Jaime Carmona           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 33 40 46        ROSTER TOTALS      15 10 33 21 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 42 40 46         T O T A L S       15 10 33 21 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.84 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.8 (no red card)

Df Ollie Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.18 (no second yellow)

Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.48 (no red card)

Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.57 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.71 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.54 (no red card)

Mf Roger Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.75 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.71 (no red card)

Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.62 (no red card)

Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.02 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.57 (no red card)

Sw Linus Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.53 (no red card)

Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.68 (no red card)

Df Andy Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.81 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.16 (no red card)

Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.84 (no red card)

Mf Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.96 (no red card)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.89 (no second yellow)

Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.47 (no red card)

Fw Shay  Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.42 (no red card)

Fw Jaime Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.4 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.94 (no injury) 
Df Ollie Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.4 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.62 (no injury) 
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.38 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Rayan Blanc is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rayan Blanc new match skill level =  5
      Rayan Blanc new match total level =  5
Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.42 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.08 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.22 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.19 (no injury) 
Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.6 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.88 (no injury) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.81 (no injury) 
Sw Linus Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.57 (no injury) 
Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.22 (no injury) 
Df Andy Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.55 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.96 (no injury) 
Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.0 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.49 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.31 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.6 (no injury) 
Fw Shay  Holland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.28 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Shay  Holland is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Jaime Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Cleverley SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 13

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Billy Moore SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Shaiming Ma SL 15

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                14  12  37  40  46
  Boston United            15  10  33  21  49

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 13 (46 - 33); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 10 ((40 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Roger Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Roger Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 39.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 64.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 68.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 84.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            15  10  33  21  49
  AFC Fylde                14  12  37  40  46

Boston United Fw Attacks = 12 (49 - 37); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 5.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Jaime Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Shay  Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 1  -  BOSTON UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Hopefully we give Phil a little taste of losing before the big game tomorrow.
Rob (Boston United) 02/10 - 5:15 PM
Once more round the mulberry bush we'll go.
Rob (Boston United) 02/17 - 4:11 PM
 
 
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