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Thursday, April 25th, 2024 - 01:23:31 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18     Gk Frank Stephens         15    2   17
Df Patrick Stretch        11    1   12     Sw Sylar Mack             16    2   18
Df Morgan Barmby          17    2   19     Df Mohamed Navarro        13    0   13
Df Louie Ince             11    0   11     Df Bailey Dowson          10    1   11
Df Ian Jackson             7    2    9     Df Steven Gascoigne        7    2    9
Mf Ivan Valencia           9    2   11     Mf Jay Davies             14    0   14
Mf Josè Guerrero           7    2    9     Mf Jermaine Clemence       9    2   11
Fw Francesco Rinaldi      10   -1    9     Fw Blair Docherty         14    2   16
Fw Luca Ferguson           9   -1    8     Fw Arthur Whelan          13    0   13
Fw Greg Scott              7    2    9     Fw Lawrence Clark         10    2   12
Fw Lorenzo Santana         7    2    9     Fw Kieran Cole             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 51 20 35        ROSTER TOTALS      17 18 33 25 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 51 22 42         T O T A L S       19 18 33 25 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.1 (no red card)

Df Patrick Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.81 (no red card)

Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.09 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.08 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Louie Ince new match skill level =  6
      Louie Ince new match total level =  6

Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.07 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Valencia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.29 (no red card)

Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.09 (no second yellow)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.67 (no red card)

Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.62 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.02 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.83 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.13 (no red card)

Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.47 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.57 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.89 (no red card)

Mf Jay Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.35 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.47 (no red card)

Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.42 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.34 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.92 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 19.35 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Stretch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.11 (no injury) 
Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.83 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.83 (no injury) 
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.75 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Valencia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.82 (no injury) 
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.19 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.16 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.84 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.17 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.34 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.8 (no injury) 
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.65 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.95 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.88 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.68 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.83 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.33 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.45 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.36 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.48 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Morgan Barmby SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 15

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jay Davies SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18   0  46  22  42
  FC United of Manchester  19  18  33  25  51

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 9 (42 - 33); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 0.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 74.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 95.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  19  18  33  25  51
  Welling United FC        18   0  46  22  42

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 5 (51 - 46); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 2 ((25 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Jermaine Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Jermaine Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Kieran Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 2
 
Match Notes
At #1 overall and undefeated Eduard, who has given up all of 4 goals in 9 matches. On the road. Hold my Sprecher’s and watch this
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/12 - 11:10 PM
I’ll have my drink back now, thank you
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/20 - 10:42 PM
Cheers
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/23 - 5:07 PM
It was very early obvious that WEL would not finish with all DFs on the pitch
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/23 - 5:08 PM
So I was even somewhat relieved that it was ONLY a red card
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/23 - 5:09 PM
 
 
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