(H)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
FA Shield Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jay Hussain 16 2 18 Gk Martin Denis 15 2 17
Df Luca Lorimar 13 2 15 Sw William Lewis 10 2 12
Df Pablo Arboleda 12 2 14 Df Aidan O'Neil 13 1 14
Df Martin Kennedy 14 2 16 Df Martim Alves 13 2 15
Mf Noah Young 13 1 14 Df Benjamin Newton 11 2 13
Mf William Carney 12 2 14 Mf Lewis Smith 13 2 15
Mf Cristiano Fernandes 8 2 10 Mf Juan Jose Carmona 12 2 14
Mf Cong Gao 7 2 9 Fw Hans Fischer 14 1 15
Fw Pedro Souza 13 2 15 Fw Blair Munro 13 2 15
Fw Sean Moore 12 2 14 Fw John Coppell 16 2 18
Fw Kenneth Anderson 10 2 12 Fw Glenn Cook 11 2 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 0 45 47 41 ROSTER TOTALS 17 12 42 29 61
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 0 45 56 41 T O T A L S 20 12 42 29 61
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.32 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.45 (no red card)
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.2 (no red card)
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.05 (no red card)
Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.09 (no red card)
Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.89 (no red card)
Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.85 (no red card)
Mf Cristiano Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.46 (no red card)
Mf Cong Gao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.11 (no red card)
Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.89 (no red card)
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.46 (no red card)
Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.4 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.27 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.45 (no red card)
Sw William Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.06 (no red card)
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.45 (no red card)
Df Martim Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.46 (no red card)
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.02 (no red card)
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.28 (no red card)
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.99 (no red card)
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.04 (no red card)
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.82 (no red card)
Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.72 (no red card)
Fw Glenn Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.44 (no injury)
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.09 (no injury)
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.32 (no injury)
Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.56 (no injury)
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.51 (no injury)
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.08 (no injury)
Mf Cristiano Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.25 (no injury)
Mf Cong Gao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.08 (no injury)
Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.75 (no injury)
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.74 (no injury)
Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.61 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.79 (no injury)
Sw William Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.52 (no injury)
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.58 (no injury)
Df Martim Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.91 (no injury)
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.98 (no injury)
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.9 (no injury)
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.13 (no injury)
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.52 (no injury)
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.93 (no injury)
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.82 (no injury)
Fw Glenn Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.39 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martin Kennedy SL 14
- Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15
intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: John Coppell SL 16
- Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16
intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Supermarine FC 18 0 45 56 41
Harrogate Railway AFC 20 12 42 29 61
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (41 - 42)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((56 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 61) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Cong Gao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Noah Young
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 86.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Noah Young
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Noah Young
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 16.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Cong Gao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Cong Gao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Noah Young
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 37.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 20 12 42 29 61
Swindon Supermarine FC 18 0 45 56 41
Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 8 (61 - 45) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 56) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((42 - 41) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Glenn Cook
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw John Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 30.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
Match Notes
Even steven prediction here, should be a good 1/4.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/02 - 2:34 PM
I think we were outsmarted by a lawyer…
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/03 - 4:28 AM