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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Forest Green Rovers FC
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Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            18    2   20     Gk Kieran Singh            6    2    8
Df Aarron Lowe             7    2    9     Df Ellis Fisher            6    2    8
Df Louis Butler            8    2   10     Df Theo Cole               3    2    5
Df Luke Jackson            4    2    6     Df Mateo Hernández         3    2    5
Mf Aarron Shepherd        10    2   12     Mf Daniel James           13    1   14
Mf Oliver Johnstone        8    2   10     Mf William Pedersen        3    2    5
Mf George Brudenell        6    2    8     Mf Conor Farrell           3    2    5
Fw Paul Ellis             14    2   16     Fw Alf Abrahamsen         14    2   16
Fw Isaac Howells           8    2   10     Fw Adam Shaw              12    0   12
Fw Marty Allen             7    2    9     Fw Andrew Williamson       6    2    8
Fw Sheng Hé                4    2    6     Fw Andrew Young            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      20  0 25 30 41        ROSTER TOTALS       8  0 18 24 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 25 30 41         T O T A L S        8  0 18 24 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.87 (no red card)

Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.89 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.1 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.27 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.31 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.8 (no red card)

Mf George Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.0 (no red card)

Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.41 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.74 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.14 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.54 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.98 (no red card)

Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.43 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.21 (no red card)

Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.9 (no red card)

Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.16 (no red card)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.24 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.75 (no red card)

Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.41 (no red card)

Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.88 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.9 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.77 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.32 (no injury) 
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.45 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.93 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.05 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.75 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.6 (no injury) 
Mf George Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.23 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.23 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.63 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.75 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.1 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.11 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.46 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.31 (no injury) 
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.68 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no injury) 
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.31 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.66 (no injury) 
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.79 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.18 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.46 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Ellis SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 6

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  25  30  41
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   0  18  24  43

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 23 (41 - 18); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 43) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf George Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 56.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 12.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 15.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 30.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 86.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 88.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 46.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 25.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 58.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 46.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 43.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 53.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 84.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 91.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 21.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 66.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   0  18  24  43
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  25  30  41

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 9 (43 - 25) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 41) / 5;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 49.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 81.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 16.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 45.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 6  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
 
Match Notes
Almost lost for words
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/08 - 6:16 PM
how do you get a skill level 18 GK???
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/08 - 6:16 PM
 
 
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