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York City FC
James Tucker
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

YORK CITY FC                               AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo Dury               16    2   18     Gk Gordon Wilkins         16    2   18
Sw Erwan Jouan             2    2    4     Sw Luís Morais             8    2   10
Df Jamie Clarke           15    1   16     Df Simon Charlton         13    1   14
Df Eirik Strand            7    2    9     Df Lucas Soramaki          7    2    9
Df Joshua Smith            4    2    6     Df Markus Jacobsen         4    2    6
Df Ethan Shaw              4    2    6     Mf Ashton Ali             12    2   14
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez        7    2    9     Mf Niklas König            4    2    6
Mf Ethan Marsh             4    2    6     Mf Andrew Cooper           2    2    4
Fw Tom Beerman            15    2   17     Fw Mark Solomon            7    2    9
Fw Michael White           7    0    7     Fw William Hay             4    2    6
Fw Juan Acosta             7    2    9     Fw Lee Clarke              2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  4 37 15 33        ROSTER TOTALS      18 10 29 24 19    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  4 37 15 34         T O T A L S       21 10 29 24 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.3 (no red card)

Sw Erwan Jouan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.31 (no red card)

Df Jamie Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.67 (no red card)

Df Eirik Strand: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.5 (no red card)

Df Joshua Smith: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.82 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.56 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.19 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.49 (no red card)

Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.22 (no red card)

Fw Michael White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.93 (no red card)

Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.58 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.79 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.73 (no red card)

Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.14 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.09 (no second yellow)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.28 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.26 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.19 (no red card)

Mf Andrew Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.64 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.42 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.48 (no second yellow)

Fw Lee Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 51.68 (no injury) 
Sw Erwan Jouan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.31 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.0 (no injury) 
Df Eirik Strand: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.0 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Smith: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.18 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.61 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.07 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.16 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.87 (no injury) 
Fw Michael White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.3 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.44 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 91.03 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.63 (no injury) 
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.28 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.21 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.08 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.02 (no injury) 
Mf Andrew Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.28 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.53 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.03 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.73 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Clarke SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 16

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Charlton SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             21   4  37  15  34
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   21  10  29  24  19

York City FC Fw Attacks = 5 (34 - 29); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 6 ((37 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Jamie Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Eirik Strand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jamie Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Jamie Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Jamie Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 91.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Jamie Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 33.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 43.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   21  10  29  24  19
  York City FC             21   4  37  15  34

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 37)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 5 ((24 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 49.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
YORK CITY FC 1  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
 
Match Notes
The maths showed this would be a tough one to win and the maths were right.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/02 - 8:09 PM
(The maths are my punk band)
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/02 - 9:44 PM
 
 
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