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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Burton Albion FC
James White
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              BURTON ALBION FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan Foster           16    2   18     Gk Wim Cryuff              8    2   10
Sw Paul Singh              2    2    4     Sw Harrison Johnson       15    2   17
Df Fabian Schulz          16    1   17     Df Julian Richter         13    2   15
Df Robin Ostrander         7    2    9     Df Shay  Carr              8    2   10
Df Kenny White             3    2    5     Df Linus Sjögren           4    2    6
Mf Cameron Hill            7    2    9     Mf Sofiane Fernandez       7   -1    6
Mf Jonathan Heddle         3    2    5     Mf Wayne Hunt              4    2    6
Fw Kerecsen Deák          13    2   15     Fw Jens Christensen       13    2   15
Fw Nils Schneider          7    2    9     Fw Carsten Petersen        8    2   10
Fw William Johnson         7    1    8     Fw Ben Frings              4    2    6
Fw Jamie Carroll           3    2    5     Fw Nicola Esposito         2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  4 31 14 37        ROSTER TOTALS      10 17 31 12 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  4 31 14 40         T O T A L S       10 17 31 12 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.54 (no red card)

Sw Paul Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.49 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.99 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.52 (no red card)

Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.86 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.58 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.0 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.58 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.56 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.03 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.83 (no second yellow)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.23 (no red card)

Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.44 (no red card)

Df Julian Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.38 (no red card)

Df Shay  Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.99 (no red card)

Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.56 (no red card)

Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.27 (no second yellow)

Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.55 (no red card)

Fw Jens Christensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.27 (no red card)

Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.96 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.7 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Esposito: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.51 (no injury) 
Sw Paul Singh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.81 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.52 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.14 (no injury) 
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.26 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.26 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Cameron Hill is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.64 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.83 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.58 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.74 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.4 (no injury) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 48.8 (no injury) 
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.6 (no injury) 
Df Julian Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.4 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.99 (no injury) 
Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.85 (no injury) 
Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.8 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Christensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.11 (no injury) 
Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.48 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.26 (no injury) 
Fw Nicola Esposito: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 8

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Julian Richter SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 16

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            20   4  31  14  40
  Burton Albion FC         10  17  31  12  35

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 9 (40 - 31); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((14 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         10  17  31  12  35
  Luton Town FC            20   4  31  14  40

Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 4 (35 - 31); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 14) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 74.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 11.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
LUTON TOWN FC 0  -  BURTON ALBION FC 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Luton Town FC Gk (Home): Dylan Foster SL 16

   - Burton Albion FC Gk (Away): Wim Cryuff SL 8

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Dylan Foster (LUT) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 37 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LUT - 1  :  BUR - 0)

 Round 1: Harrison Johnson (BUR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 64 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LUT - 1  :  BUR - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Fabian Schulz (LUT) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 96 (PK BLOCKED!!) (LUT - 1  :  BUR - 1)

 Round 2: Julian Richter (BUR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 31 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LUT - 1  :  BUR - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Kerecsen Deák (LUT) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 85 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LUT - 2  :  BUR - 2)

 Round 3: Jens Christensen (BUR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 81 (PK BLOCKED!!) (LUT - 2  :  BUR - 2)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Robin Ostrander (LUT) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 64 (PK BLOCKED!!) (LUT - 2  :  BUR - 2)

 Round 4: Wim Cryuff (BUR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 36 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LUT - 2  :  BUR - 3)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Cameron Hill (LUT) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 68 (PK BLOCKED!!) (LUT - 2  :  BUR - 3)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 0  -  BURTON ALBION FC 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
LUTON TOWN FC 2  -  BURTON ALBION FC 3
 
Match Notes
BUR sure to be revenge-seeking here off unlucky Cup drubbing last session.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/02 - 2:31 PM
Unexpected PK result, but so it goes. Best of luck going ahead, James!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/02 - 9:10 PM
 
 
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