(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
AP Cup Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S AFC WIMBLEDON FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Kenzie Ross 18 2 20 Gk Frank Stephens 15 2 17 Sw Riley O'Brien 14 2 16 Sw Sylar Mack 16 2 18 Df Harry Johnson 13 2 15 Df Mohamed Navarro 13 0 13 Df Lee Robertson 11 2 13 Df Bailey Dowson 12 2 14 Mf Oscar Hall 17 2 19 Df Liam Fortune-West 8 2 10 Mf Aarron Shepherd 11 2 13 Mf Theo Cleverley 13 2 15 Fw Paul Ellis 15 2 17 Mf Jay Davies 14 1 15 Fw Bradley McCarthy 15 2 17 Mf Jermaine Clemence 9 2 11 Fw Josh MacDonald 13 2 15 Fw Blair Docherty 16 2 18 Fw Erik Lang 13 0 13 Fw Lawrence Clark 13 2 15 Fw Marty Allen 8 2 10 Fw Arthur Whelan 13 0 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 16 28 32 72 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 37 41 46 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 23 16 28 32 81 T O T A L S 20 18 37 41 46 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.58 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 90.0 (no red card) Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.7 (no red card) Df Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.57 (no red card) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.77 (no red card) Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.27 (no red card) Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.09 (no red card) Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.93 (no red card) Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.06 (no red card) Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.57 (no red card) Fw Erik Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.26 (no red card) Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.79 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.16 (no second yellow) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.25 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.96 (no red card) Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.59 (no red card) Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.1 (no red card) Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.77 (no red card) Df Liam Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.5 (no red card) Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.29 (no red card) Mf Jay Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.51 (no red card) Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.32 (no red card) Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.02 (no red card) Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.84 (no red card) Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.39 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 99.08 (no injury) Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.69 (no injury) Df Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.53 (no injury) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.9 (no injury) Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.5 (no injury) Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.33 (no injury) Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.72 (no injury) Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.7 (no injury) Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.08 (no injury) Fw Erik Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.94 (no injury) Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.17 (no injury) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 30.31 (no injury) Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.52 (no injury) Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.45 (no injury) Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.0 (no injury) Df Liam Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.74 (no injury) Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.36 (no injury) Mf Jay Davies: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.3 (no injury) Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.07 (no injury) Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.69 (no injury) Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.0 (no injury) Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.73 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 17 - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 15 intRndPk = 50 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Blair Docherty SL 16 - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Wimbledon 23 16 28 32 81 FC United of Manchester 20 18 37 41 46 AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 44 (81 - 37); result rounded up AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 41) / 2; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 46) / 3; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 44 1: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Erik Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 67.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 84.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Erik Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 0.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Erik Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 83.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 30: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 70.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 33: Attack for Fw Erik Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 34: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Erik Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 39: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 19.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 40: Attack for Fw Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 41: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 42: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 43: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 44: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 83.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- FC United of Manchester 20 18 37 41 46 AFC Wimbledon 23 16 28 32 81 FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 18 (46 - 28); result rounded up FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 5 ((41 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 81) / 3; rounded up) FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 23 1: Attack for Mf Jermaine Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 76.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Jay Davies Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Jay Davies Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Jay Davies Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 64.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 25.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 82.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 17.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 61.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 97.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 22: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N AFC WIMBLEDON 1 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1 =============================================== ============================================================================ ============================================================================ ============================================================================ ============================================================================ E X T R A T I M E !!!!!!!!!! ============================================================================ ============================================================================ ============================================================================ ============================================================================ Note that in extra time, the formulas for determining how many bookings, penalty kicks, injuries, and attacks are approximately 1/3 of the same chance in regulation time. Its not always EXACTLY 1/3 but it will be close. ============================================================================ ============================================================================ Each player's level (skill level + fitness) is now reduced by their age (except for Gks - no reduction). SBY and APP players do not get a reduction. ******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 81.4 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.36% | Random number = 54.97 (no red card) Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 65.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 17.14 (no red card) Df Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 7.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 80.71 (no red card) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 1.54 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 85.67 (no second yellow) Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 1.46 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 97.26 (no second yellow) Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 91.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 28.83 (no red card) Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 86.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 64.62 (no red card) Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 82.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 31.96 (no red card) Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 96.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 61.97 (no red card) Fw Erik Lang: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 93.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 70.78 (no red card) Fw Marty Allen: Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 31.05 (no red card) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.7 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.24% | Random number = 85.58 (no red card) Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 86.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 15.9 (no red card) Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 20.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 76.58 (no red card) Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 43.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 20.59 (no red card) Df Liam Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 21.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 5.36 (no red card) Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 42.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 5.11 (no red card) Mf Jay Davies: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 27.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 47.06 (no red card) Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 69.53 (no red card) Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 77.63 (no red card) Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 82.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 16.45 (no red card) Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 26.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 26.76 (no red card) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 0.9% - Gk chance of injury = 0.46% Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 0.46% | Random number = 69.38 (no injury) Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 41.34 (no injury) Df Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 30.32 (no injury) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 34.0 (no injury) Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 92.87 (no injury) Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 84.7 (no injury) Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 74.95 (no injury) Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 24.19 (no injury) Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 23.33 (no injury) Fw Erik Lang: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 50.89 (no injury) Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 5.63 (no injury) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 1.07% - Gk chance of injury = 0.55% Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 0.55% | Random number = 95.3 (no injury) Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 24.89 (no injury) Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 20.64 (no injury) Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 64.5 (no injury) Df Liam Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 52.07 (no injury) Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 76.98 (no injury) Mf Jay Davies: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 21.13 (no injury) Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 28.84 (no injury) Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 68.12 (no injury) Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 69.83 (no injury) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 14 - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 15 intRndPk = 69 1: Chance of PK occurring = 2% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Blair Docherty SL 14 - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18 1: Chance of PK occurring = 3% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Wimbledon 23 15 23 28 71 FC United of Manchester 20 16 31 35 40 AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 13 (71 - 31) * .33; result rounded up AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 35) / 2; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 40) / 3; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 13 1: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Erik Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Erik Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 34.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Erik Lang Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 73.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 28.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- FC United of Manchester 20 16 31 35 40 AFC Wimbledon 23 15 23 28 71 FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 6 (40 - 23) * .33; result rounded up FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 1 ((35 - 28) / 2) * .33; result rounded up FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 71) / 3; rounded up) FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 7 1: Attack for Mf Jermaine Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 70.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 29.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 40.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== E N D O F E X T R A T I M E AFC WIMBLEDON 1 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1 =============================================== =============================================== P E N A L T Y K I C K S H O O T O U T =============================================== - AFC Wimbledon Gk (Home): Kenzie Ross SL 18 - FC United of Manchester Gk (Away): Frank Stephens SL 15 ************ ROUND 1 ************ Round 1: Kenzie Ross (WIM) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 33 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 1 : FCU - 0) Round 1: Sylar Mack (FCU) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 81 (PK BLOCKED!!) (WIM - 1 : FCU - 0) ************ ROUND 2 ************ Round 2: Oscar Hall (WIM) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 81 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 2 : FCU - 0) Round 2: Blair Docherty (FCU) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 50 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 2 : FCU - 1) ************ ROUND 3 ************ Round 3: Paul Ellis (WIM) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 70 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 3 : FCU - 1) Round 3: Frank Stephens (FCU) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 83 (PK BLOCKED!!) (WIM - 3 : FCU - 1) ************ ROUND 4 ************ Round 4: Bradley McCarthy (WIM) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 4 : FCU - 1) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E AFC WIMBLEDON 1 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1 =============================================== P K S H O O T O U T AFC WIMBLEDON 4 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1
Match Notes
So here’s one prediction league match I’ll be guaranteed of a wrong pick in. 5 seasons since we last beat Dave.
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/04 - 5:46 PM
Never bet against Kevin Martin on Saturday afternoon.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/09 - 3:02 AM
decided to showcase the AP Cup semi´s for the prediction league. Hard to find a way to beat this Wimbledon team though.
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/09 - 10:09 AM
This will not be easy with Sylar Mack anchoring the FC back line……need a home crowd push here to prevail
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/09 - 2:47 PM
Fortunate to win with that many shots off target…..Sylar almost pulled it out for FC
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/09 - 8:32 PM
That was some downright British PK shooting for FCU
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/16 - 12:48 AM