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Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 12:16:10 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thiago Alves            8    2   10     Gk Diego Forlán           14    2   16
Sw Ryan James             12    0   12     Sw Trevor Wallace          8    1    9
Df Marcelo Fernandez       8    2   10     Df Clifton Ali            13    2   15
Df Christopher Macbeth     4    2    6     Df Earl Kelly              8    2   10
Mf Vegard  Haugland        8    2   10     Df Luke Crowley            4    2    6
Mf Gast?n Franco           4    2    6     Df Sean Callahan           4    2    6
Mf Giles Walsh             4    2    6     Mf Barry Evans            16    2   18
Fw George Shaw            12    0   12     Mf Joe Barrett             8    2   10
Fw Taylor Cockayne        12    0   12     Mf Kunio Yamamoto          4    2    6
Fw Alfred Forsberg         8    2   10     Fw Liam Thwaite            8    2   10
Fw Santiago Rubio          4    2    6     Fw Matais Juarez           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 12 16 22 40        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 37 34 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 12 16 22 40         T O T A L S       19 12 37 34 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.79 (no red card)

Sw Ryan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.92 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.43 (no red card)

Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.0 (no red card)

Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.4 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.75 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.5 (no red card)

Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.9 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.86 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.77 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.03 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 38.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 37.73 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 18.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.18 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 27.53 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.86 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 14.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 43.18 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.54 (no red card)

Mf Barry Evans: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 69.16 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 88.11 (no second yellow)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 41.81 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 36.95 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.24 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 96.68 (no injury) 
Sw Ryan James: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 24.39 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 7.98 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.75 (no injury) 
Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 27.56 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 14.34 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 67.32 (no injury) 
Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 56.35 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 98.76 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 87.87 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 62.09 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.16 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.63 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.89 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.55 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.33 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.97 (no injury) 
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Barry Evans is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Barry Evans new match skill level =  8
      Barry Evans new match total level =  10
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.6 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.94 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.28 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: George Shaw SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Clifton Ali SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 8

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          10  12  16  22  40
  Tonbridge Angels         19  12  37  26  18

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 3 (40 - 37); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 18) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 13.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 22.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         19  12  37  26  18
  Carlton Town FC          10  12  16  22  40

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 2 (18 - 16); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 84.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
These games are always so close. If it goes all the way to penalties hopefully our keeper will do the business.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/07 - 4:54 PM
A very close and cagey game. A big win for the Angels.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/15 - 9:53 PM
 
 
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