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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            16    2   18     Gk Mark Daugherty         16    2   18
Df Pablo Arboleda         13    2   15     Sw Bryan Shrimpton        12    1   13
Df Seiichi Tanaka         10    1   11     Df Matty Parsons          14    2   16
Df Martin Kennedy         14    2   16     Df Oliver Brown           11    2   13
Mf William Carney         14    2   16     Df Rodrigo Baciao          2    2    4
Mf Noah Young             13    2   15     Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    2   12
Mf Owen Roberts            9    2   11     Mf Donald Brown            8    2   10
Mf Cristiano Fernandes     8    2   10     Fw Dennis Honeybun        14   -1   13
Fw Sean Moore             13    2   15     Fw Luca König             13    1   14
Fw Jose Ramon Marquez     11    2   13     Fw John Davis             10    2   12
Fw Kenneth Anderson       10    2   12     Fw Kai Burke               9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 42 52 40        ROSTER TOTALS      18 13 33 22 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 42 61 40         T O T A L S       18 13 33 22 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.74 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.9 (no red card)

Df Seiichi Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.07 (no red card)

Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.22 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.04 (no red card)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.3 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.18 (no red card)

Mf Cristiano Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.04 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.14 (no red card)

Fw Jose Ramon Marquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.78 (no red card)

Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.48 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.06 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.46 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.08 (no red card)

Df Oliver Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.57 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo Baciao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.91 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.15 (no red card)

Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.4 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.47 (no red card)

Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.22 (no red card)

Fw John Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.83 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.12 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) 
Df Seiichi Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.48 (no injury) 
Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.5 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.4 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.29 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.57 (no injury) 
Mf Cristiano Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.46 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.14 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Ramon Marquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.02 (no injury) 
Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.63 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 80.4 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.27 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.46 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.27 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo Baciao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.45 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.48 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.08 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.43 (no injury) 
Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.59 (no injury) 
Fw John Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.16 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.87 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Kennedy SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 16

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matty Parsons SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  42  61  40
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  13  33  22  50

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 7 (40 - 33); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 20 ((61 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 50) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Cristiano Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Cristiano Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Cristiano Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Cristiano Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Jose Ramon Marquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Jose Ramon Marquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Kenneth Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Kenneth Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  13  33  22  50
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  42  61  40

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (50 - 42); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 61) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 39.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw John Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Wear em out for us Steve
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/16 - 12:19 AM
You are about to witness Steve being Steve…
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/16 - 4:29 AM
(I don’t know what that means but it sounded so good I had to push send…)
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/16 - 4:30 AM
 
 
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