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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
 
AP Cup Final
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              CLEVEDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            18    2   20     Gk Theo White             16    2   18
Df Lee Robertson          13    2   15     Sw Nathan Khan            15    2   17
Df Kian Doyle             13    1   14     Df Calum Morrison         14    2   16
Df Harry Johnson          13    2   15     Df Guillaume Chauvin      13    2   15
Mf Oscar Hall             17    2   19     Df Luca Jones             11    2   13
Mf Aarron Shepherd        13    2   15     Mf Ethan Alexander        13    1   14
Mf Archie Blair           12    1   13     Mf Jake Brooks            12    2   14
Mf Oliver Johnstone        9    2   11     Mf James Fox              12    0   12
Fw Paul Ellis             15    2   17     Fw Joshua Gordon          15    1   16
Fw Bradley McCarthy       15    2   17     Fw Charles Hopkins        14    1   15
Fw Josh MacDonald         13    2   15     Fw Sean Boyle             15    0   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      20  0 44 58 49        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 44 40 46    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  4    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      23  0 44 58 58         T O T A L S       20 17 44 40 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 14.08 (no red card)

Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.03 (no red card)

Df Kian Doyle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.11 (no red card)

Df Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.62 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.18 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.0 (no red card)

Mf Archie Blair: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.67 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.28 (no red card)

Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.66 (no red card)

Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.99 (no red card)

Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.82 (no red card)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Theo White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.32 (no red card)

Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.94 (no red card)

Df Calum Morrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.64 (no red card)

Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.74 (no red card)

Df Luca Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.14 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.76 (no second yellow)

Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.37 (no red card)

Mf James Fox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.72 (no red card)

Fw Joshua Gordon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.58 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Joshua Gordon new match skill level =  8
      Joshua Gordon new match total level =  9

Fw Charles Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.4 (no red card)

Fw Sean Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.69 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 68.3 (no injury) 
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.68 (no injury) 
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.6 (no injury) 
Df Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.7 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.57 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.51 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Blair: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.83 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.59 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.41 (no injury) 
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.44 (no injury) 
Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.58 (no injury) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Theo White: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 22.98 (no injury) 
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.71 (no injury) 
Df Calum Morrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.6 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.77 (no injury) 
Df Luca Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.86 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Alexander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.99 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.2 (no injury) 
Mf James Fox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.37 (no injury) 
Fw Joshua Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.52 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Hopkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.53 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Boyle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.89 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Theo White SL 16

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sean Boyle SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            23   0  44  58  58
  Clevedon Town FC         20  17  44  40  43

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 14 (58 - 44); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 9 ((58 - 40) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((44 - 43) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Lee Robertson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 44.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Archie Blair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 42.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 78.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         20  17  44  40  43
  AFC Wimbledon            23   0  44  58  58

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 44)
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 58) / 2;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 1  -  CLEVEDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Will this be nil-nil also?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/18 - 12:18 AM
Good Luck to both!
Aires (Evesham United FC) 03/19 - 10:43 AM
Bryce looking to shock the world
Mike (Mossley AFC) 03/22 - 12:52 AM
Would be a huge upset for Clevedon, but it's not impossible!
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/22 - 10:24 PM
Great to see both these highly popular managers in the final.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 03/22 - 11:50 PM
has the makings of a classic cup final
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/23 - 12:13 PM
We have the makings of a huge upset here! Can Bryce pull it off?
Rob (Boston United) 03/23 - 3:09 PM
With all the talk about Wimbledon's scoring troubles, this will probably be a nine-goal thriller.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/23 - 3:56 PM
Highly unlikely we put 9 shots on goal Jason, let alone in the back of the net, but that would be nice….a guy can dream
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/23 - 5:22 PM
Translation: a nine goal thriller and Dave plans to score at least 8 of them.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 03/23 - 6:56 PM
That's a pretty good tactical (Df-Mf-Fw) setup for Dave today. Congratulations Dave and well played Bryce.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/23 - 10:41 PM
Nearly impossible to counter those Wimbledon totals.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/23 - 11:44 PM
excting finish
Mike (Mossley AFC) 03/28 - 10:03 AM
 
 
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