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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            14    2   16     Gk Denis Baker            12    2   14
Sw Dave Nguyen            11    2   13     Sw Leonardo  Torres       13    0   13
Df Luca Lorimar           13    2   15     Df Marty Pagett           12    1   13
Df Pablo Arboleda         10    2   12     Df Kieran Shilton         10    0   10
Df Thomas McIntyre         6    2    8     Df Thiago Carvalho         6    2    8
Mf Mons Nygård             6   -2    4     Mf Paul Lynch             12    1   13
Mf Owen Roberts            6    2    8     Mf Theo Ritchie           10    2   12
Mf Lewis Coppell           3    2    5     Mf Eirik Paulsen           3    2    5
Fw Pedro Souza            13    1   14     Fw Kian Williams          12    2   14
Fw Sean Moore             11    2   13     Fw Martin Wilkins         10    0   10
Fw Agustin Martínez        6    2    8     Fw Emile Hardy             9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 35 17 35        ROSTER TOTALS      14 13 31 30 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 13 35 17 44         T O T A L S       14 13 31 30 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.1 (no red card)

Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.1 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.25 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.75 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.9 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.75 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.07 (no second yellow)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.5 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.22 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.05 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.96 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.64 (no red card)

Sw Leonardo  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.36 (no red card)

Df Marty Pagett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.53 (no red card)

Df Kieran Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.09 (no red card)

Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.28 (no red card)

Mf Paul Lynch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.11 (no red card)

Mf Theo Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.63 (no red card)

Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.37 (no red card)

Fw Kian Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.79 (no red card)

Fw Martin Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.49 (no second yellow)

Fw Emile Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.15 (no injury) 
Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.11 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.3 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Pablo Arboleda is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Pablo Arboleda new match skill level =  5
      Pablo Arboleda new match total level =  7
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.07 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.37 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.3 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.12 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.76 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.92 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.78 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Baker: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.35 (no injury) 
Sw Leonardo  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.0 (no injury) 
Df Marty Pagett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.7 (no injury) 
Df Kieran Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.11 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.54 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Lynch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.01 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Ritchie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.43 (no injury) 
Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.89 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.68 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.4 (no injury) 
Fw Emile Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Lorimar SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Denis Baker SL 12

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marty Pagett SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 14

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16  13  30  17  44
  Hyde FC                  14  13  31  30  36

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 13 (44 - 31); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Pedro Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  14  13  31  30  36
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16  13  30  17  44

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 6 (36 - 30); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((30 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Paul Lynch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Theo Ritchie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Theo Ritchie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Eirik Paulsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Paul Lynch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Paul Lynch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Eirik Paulsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 95.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Emile Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 35.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 45.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Martin Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0  -  HYDE FC 1
 
Match Notes
A point away from home would be grand
Carl (Hyde FC) 02/04 - 10:53 AM
That could of gone either way
Carl (Hyde FC) 02/11 - 4:07 PM
 
 
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