Session 10 orders deadline in 40 hours and 20 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, March 29th, 2024 - 02:39:37 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           14    1   15     Gk Dylan Foster           14    1   15
Sw Patrick Stretch        13    0   13     Df Harvey Marshall        10    1   11
Df Morgan Barmby          17    2   19     Df Robin Ostrander         5    2    7
Df Ian Jackson             6    2    8     Df Kenny White             2    2    4
Mf Leon Baumann           11    1   12     Mf Jung Hee  Kwon         10    0   10
Mf Josè Guerrero           6    2    8     Mf Cameron Hill            5    2    7
Fw Ashley Reynolds        13    1   14     Mf Jonathan Heddle         2    2    4
Fw Francesco Rinaldi      10    1   11     Fw Nils Schneider          5    2    7
Fw Luca Ferguson           9    0    9     Fw William Johnson         5   -1    4
Fw Lorenzo Santana         6    2    8     Fw Jamie Carroll           2    2    4
Fw Greg Scott              6    2    8     Fw Facundo Bruno           2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 13 27 20 50        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 22 21 19    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 13 27 20 59         T O T A L S       15  0 29 21 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 1.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 79.51 (no red card)

Sw Patrick Stretch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.68 (no red card)

Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.59 (no red card)

Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.97 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.62 (no red card)

Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.0 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.3 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.69 (no red card)

Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.78 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.58 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.31 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.36 (no red card)

Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.33 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.2 (no red card)

Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.37 (no red card)

Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.23 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.42 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.48 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.76 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.75 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.81 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 58.29 (no injury) 
Sw Patrick Stretch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.12 (no injury) 
Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.5 (no injury) 
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.55 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.15 (no injury) 
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.78 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.0 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.49 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.57 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.52 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.37 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.37 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.25 (no injury) 
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.62 (no injury) 
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.98 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.15 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.75 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.27 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.42 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.58 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Morgan Barmby SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 14

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Marshall SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        16  13  27  20  59
  Luton Town FC            15   0  29  21  19

Luton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 15 (59 - 29) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 3 ((27 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Morgan Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Ian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 70.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 95.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 78.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            15   0  29  21  19
  Welling United FC        16  13  27  20  59

Luton Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 27)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 59) / 5;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 3  -  LUTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
After stumbling up twice (just barely promoving as #3), WEL is likely to run into some trouble
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/03 - 10:22 AM
United's new hot manager. Is Ed moving towards EE status?
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/03 - 5:22 PM
59 FW in Week Two is impressive!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/03 - 9:14 PM
 
 
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