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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Stephens         15    2   17     Gk Leo Dury               16    2   18
Sw Sylar Mack             16    2   18     Sw Arran Wood             11    0   11
Df Mohamed Navarro        13    0   13     Df Jamie Clarke           15    1   16
Df Agustín Delgado         8    1    9     Df Tom Cole               10    2   12
Df Steven Gascoigne        7    2    9     Df Eirik Strand            6    2    8
Mf Gerry Ward              9    2   11     Mf Billy Garcia           11    1   12
Mf Mason Whiteside         7    2    9     Mf Alvarez  Jiménez        6    2    8
Fw Blair Docherty         14    2   16     Fw Tom Beerman            14    2   16
Fw Arthur Whelan          13    0   13     Fw David Sundberg         13    2   15
Fw Kieran Cole             8    2   10     Fw Tom Parry              13    2   15
Fw Baron Marshall          7    2    9     Fw Juan Acosta             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 18 31 20 48        ROSTER TOTALS      18 11 36 20 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 18 31 20 57         T O T A L S       18 11 36 20 55    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.43 (no red card)

Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.13 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.28 (no red card)

Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.14 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.49 (no red card)

Mf Gerry Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.54 (no red card)

Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.46 (no red card)

Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.2 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.21 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.6 (no second yellow)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.19 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.44 (no red card)

Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.17 (no second yellow)

Df Jamie Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.74 (no red card)

Df Tom Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.85 (no red card)

Df Eirik Strand: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.76 (no red card)

Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.9 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.54 (no red card)

Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.75 (no red card)

Fw David Sundberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.5 (no red card)

Fw Tom Parry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.42 (no red card)

Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.22 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 96.62 (no injury) 
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.28 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.02 (no injury) 
Df Agustín Delgado: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.6 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.72 (no injury) 
Mf Gerry Ward: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.46 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.45 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.63 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.43 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Cole: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.49 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.26 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 63.7 (no injury) 
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.49 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.17 (no injury) 
Df Tom Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.05 (no injury) 
Df Eirik Strand: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.99 (no injury) 
Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.51 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.22 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.45 (no injury) 
Fw David Sundberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.44 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Parry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.58 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Blair Docherty SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Clarke SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 15

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  19  18  31  20  57
  York City FC             18  11  36  20  55

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 21 (57 - 36); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Fw Kieran Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Kieran Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 30.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 72.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Kieran Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             18  11  36  20  55
  FC United of Manchester  19  18  31  20  57

York City FC Fw Attacks = 24 (55 - 31); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 56.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 27.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 2.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 54.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1  -  YORK CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
We’re in 9th, yet only 3 pts from 2nd. Need these home points to… never mind. York and James T may be too much to hope for a W. We’ll take a Draw here if he’s got the T11 tied up elsewhere
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/12 - 11:12 PM
After 4 league games, only 3 points behind. Hmmm.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/16 - 2:04 AM
Sweeper was the difference here on otherwise near-equal stats. We escape with bonus points and a rare win over a superior York team
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/20 - 10:37 PM
 
 
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